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approval · 1030 polls · 140 sources · updated Jun 30

Donald Trump job approval (2nd term)

approve
39.1
−0.1 vs 7d
disapprove
58.0
+0.1 vs 7d
Net
−18.9
series low
30-day Δ
−0.5
1-year Δ
−5.5
Series low
39.1
Series high
50.9
Last 90 days · approve
39.1
Within series envelope2025 → today
LOW 39.1 · Jul 1AVG 43.6HIGH 50.9 · Jan 8
What's moving
Verified

Donald Trump's second-term job approval stands at 37% approve / 58% disapprove in the most recent Civiqs poll (July 1) [1]. Recent polls from late June show broad agreement on the disapproval figure: Civiqs [1], The Economist/YouGov [4], and YouGov [2][3] all record disapproval at 58%, while approval readings range from 36–40% across pollsters. Big Data Poll is an outlier at 44% approve / 53% disapprove (June 28) [5]. No polls from approximately 30 days ago are available in this dataset to assess directional change.

Market signal
40.3%Market-implied approval (Kalshi)kalshi ↗

Prediction-market estimate — not part of our polling average or model.

approve over time

LOESS CONSENSUS
1030 polls
BIAS-CORRECTED
House effects removed
INDIVIDUAL POLLS
raw readings
EVENT
curated
TRUMP 235%40%45%50%55%2025 · Second term begins2025 · Sweeping tariff annou…2025 · Off-year electionsRAW 39.1CORR 39.8Jan 25May 25Oct 25Feb 26Jun 26

By administration

Average approve during each presidency, from the smoothed series.

Biden · 20212025
51%
avg approve
Trump 2 · 2025now
43%
−7pp vs Biden

Pollster house effects

Pollsters on this topic · 98
D-LEAN
NEUTRAL
R-LEAN
← UNDERSTATES SUPPORTOVERSTATES SUPPORT →-3pp0pp+3ppTIPP Insights-3.3Marquette University Law Scho…Marquette University Law School+3.0High Point University Survey …High Point University Survey Research Center-2.9YouGov-2.9Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Re…Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research+2.8Focaldata-2.6SoCal Strategies-2.5Talker Research-2.0J.L. Partners-2.0The Argument/Verasight+1.8University of Massachusetts L…University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov-1.6NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ+1.5
MOST ALIGNED
The Tyson Group
0.0pp
Track record matches consensus to within 0.0 pp across 1 polls.
LARGEST HOUSE EFFECT
TIPP Insights
-3.3pp
Consistently understates support relative to consensus; weight in aggregate is downgraded accordingly.

Who's divided

approve by subgroup · latest crosstabs from Civiqs (6/30/2026).

54pp
Party divides Americans most on this topic.
Republican 84% approve · Independent 30% · widest spread of any dimension
Dimension
0% approvePOP AVG 39%100%
Spread
party
2 subgroups
Republican 84
Independent 30
54pp
race
4 subgroups
White 44
Black or African-American 8
Hispanic/Latino 28
Other 28
36pp
age
4 subgroups
18-34 24
35-49 29
50-64 47
65+ 46
23pp
education
3 subgroups
Non-College Graduate 41
College Graduate 34
Postgraduate 25
16pp
gender
2 subgroups
Male 43
Female 32
11pp

The party gap over time

Democrats and Republicans are 80 points apart today — 5pp narrower than in 2025.

independent27%republican83%democrat3%APPROVE % BY SUBGROUP
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%2026IND 27REP 83DEM 3

What's changed

2025
Second term begins
50%
2025
Sweeping tariff announcement
46%
2025
Off-year elections
43%