approval · polls
Donald Trump job approval (1st term) Donald Trump job approval (1st term) most recently registered 42% approve versus 53% disapprove in YouGov polling completed January 19, 2021 [1] [3] [2] [4] [5] [7]
approve over time LOESS CONSENSUS
6822 polls
BIAS-CORRECTED
House effects removed
INDIVIDUAL POLLS
raw readings
1Y 5Y ALL
35% 40% 45% 50% 2017 · Inauguration 2019 · 35-day shutdown ends 2020 · COVID national emerge… 2021 · January 6 Capitol att… RAW 42.7 CORR 40.2 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Pollster house effects Pollsters on this topic · 88
← UNDERSTATES SUPPORT OVERSTATES SUPPORT → -3pp 0pp +3pp Redfield & Wilton Strategies -5.3 Cards Against Humanity/Survey…Cards Against Humanity/Survey Sampling International -3.9 Opinium -2.9 YouGov -2.9 TIPP -2.5 Lucid -2.3 Harris Poll +2.2 Selzer -2.1 Winston -2.1 Emerson -2.0 icitizen +1.9 Marist -1.6 MOST ALIGNED
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
0.0pp
Track record matches consensus to within 0.0 pp across 11 polls.
LARGEST HOUSE EFFECT
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
-5.3pp
Consistently understates support relative to consensus; weight in aggregate is downgraded accordingly.
What's changed 2019
35-day shutdown ends
43%
2020
COVID national emergency
43%
2021
January 6 Capitol attack
43%
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