favorability · polls
Gavin Newsom — favorability
UNFAVORABLE
33.7%
FAVORABLE
31.7%
NET
+2.0
unfavorable over time
LOESS CONSENSUS
11 polls
BIAS-CORRECTED
House effects removed
INDIVIDUAL POLLS
raw readings
Pollster house effects
Pollsters on this topic · 3
D-LEAN
NEUTRAL
R-LEAN
MOST ALIGNED
Marquette Law School Poll
+0.2pp
Track record matches consensus to within 0.2 pp across 1 polls.
LARGEST HOUSE EFFECT
YouGov
-2.9pp
Consistently understates support relative to consensus; weight in aggregate is downgraded accordingly.
Who's divided
57pp
Ideology divides Americans most on this topic.
Somewhat liberal 62% favorable · Very conservative 5% · widest spread of any dimension
Dimension
0% favorablePOP AVG 32%100%
Spreadideology
5 subgroups
Very conservative 5
Somewhat conservative 11
Moderate 27
Somewhat liberal 62
Very liberal 53
57pp
party
3 subgroups
Republican 7
Independent 14
Democrat 54
47pp
gender
3 subgroups
Male 29
Female 28
Another gender 0
29pp
religion
5 subgroups
Born-again Protestant 13
Mainline Protestant 27
Roman Catholic 38
No religion 35
Other religion 38
25pp
education
5 subgroups
Less than HS 23
HS graduate 21
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 25
Bachelor's degree 32
Post grad study/professional degree 44
23pp
income
5 subgroups
Less than $30k 27
$30k to less than $50k 17
$50k to less than $75k 27
$75k to less than $100k 29
$100k or more 36
19pp
age
4 subgroups
18-29 21
30-44 21
45-59 34
60+ 35
14pp
race
4 subgroups
White Non-Hispanic 25
Black Non-Hispanic 30
Hispanic 33
Other 38
13pp