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democrat % · 1995 → 2024LOESS-smoothed · raw dots underlaid
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Generic congressional ballot (1996–2020): YouGov's most recent reading, fielded 2024-10-28, shows Democrats and Republicans tied at 46% each [1]. The two prior YouGov waves (2024-10-22 and 2024-10-15) also registered 46–46, indicating a consistent even split across late October [1]. Earlier autumn waves had given Democrats a narrow edge — 47–43 on 2024-09-17 and 46–44 on 2024-09-24 — before the parties converged to even during October (45–45 on 2024-10-07, 46–46 on 2024-10-15) [1]. The poll closest to 30 days before the latest reading is the same 2024-10-28 wave at 46–46, so no net change is measurable over that window [1].