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direction · 874 polls · 2 sources · 2009 → 2026

Economic direction — right/wrong track

Today (2026)
26%
getting better · 2026
First reading
26%
2009 · civiqs
17-year shift
-0pp
falling
Polls
874
polls
Sources
2
civiqs · yougov
getting better % · 2009 → 2026LOESS-smoothed · raw dots underlaid50% line · majority threshold2009 · 26%Stimulus signed2020 · 29%COVID crash2022 · 18%Inflation peaks at 9.1%2025 · 23%Tariff announcement200920122015201820212026
Story arc
Verified

Economic direction — right/wrong track polling shows a consistent majority of Americans view the economy as getting worse. Civiqs's July 4 reading [1] puts 59% saying the economy is getting worse and 26% getting better, figures that have held steady across every Civiqs release since mid-June. YouGov's June 29 poll [2] shows a similar 54% worse vs. 20% better. Across both pollsters, the "getting worse" share has ranged between 54–60% throughout the period, while "getting better" has stayed in the 20–26% range with no meaningful trend in either direction.

getting better over time

LOESS CONSENSUS
874 polls
BIAS-CORRECTED
House effects removed
INDIVIDUAL POLLS
raw readings
EVENT
curated
OBAMATRUMPBIDENTRUMP 20%10%20%30%40%2009 · Stimulus signed2020 · COVID crash2022 · Inflation peaks at 9.…2025 · Tariff announcementRAW 25.5CORR 22.620092013201720222026

By administration

Average getting better during each presidency, from the smoothed series.

Obama · 20092017
26%
avg getting better
Trump · 20172021
31%
+5pp vs Obama
Biden · 20212025
20%
−11pp vs Trump
Trump 2 · 2025now
24%
+4pp vs Biden

Who's divided

getting better by subgroup · latest crosstabs from Civiqs (7/3/2026).

57pp
Party divides Americans most on this topic.
Republican 58% getting better · Democrat 1% · widest spread of any dimension
Dimension
0% getting betterPOP AVG 23%100%
Spread
party
3 subgroups
Democrat 1
Republican 58
Independent 23
57pp
race
4 subgroups
White 31
Black or African-American 6
Hispanic/Latino 22
Other 21
25pp
age
4 subgroups
18-34 15
35-49 20
50-64 34
65+ 35
20pp
gender
2 subgroups
Male 32
Female 21
11pp
education
3 subgroups
Non-College Graduate 29
College Graduate 24
Postgraduate 19
10pp

The party gap over time

Democrats and Republicans are 53 points apart today — 36pp wider than in 2009.

democrat78%independent65%republican25%GETTING BETTER % BY SUBGROUP
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%20122015201820212024DEM 78IND 65REP 25

What's changed

2009
Stimulus signed
26%
2020
COVID crash
29%
2022
Inflation peaks at 9.1%
18%
2025
Tariff announcement
23%