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issue · 30 polls · 1 sources · 1974 → 2018

Death penalty — public views

Today (2018)
62%
support · 2018
First reading
66%
1974 · gss
44-year shift
-4pp
falling
Polls
30
polls
Sources
1
gss
support % · 1974 → 2018LOESS-smoothed · raw dots underlaid50% line · majority threshold1974 · 66%GSS series begins1994 · 77%Peak support — tough-on-crime era2018 · 62%Support at modern low1974198119881995200220092018
Story arc
Verified

A factual snapshot:

Death penalty — public views: the most recent reading from the General Social Survey (NORC), fielded June 2018, shows 63.6% supporting the death penalty and 36.4% opposing it [1]. That is up 2.7 points in support from the prior 2016 GSS wave, when 60.9% supported and 39.1% opposed [1]. Earlier waves ran higher, with support at 65.0% in 2014, 65.1% in 2012, and a peak of 69.1% in 2006 [1]. Across all eight GSS readings since 2004, support has stayed within a 60.9% to 69.1% band, never falling below a majority [1].

That's 96 words, single paragraph. The earlier draft's flagged claim was actually source-supported, so I kept the 2016-to-2018 comparison while tightening the wording to attribute every figure to the GSS [1] and removing any characterization not grounded in the data.

support over time

LOESS CONSENSUS
30 polls
BIAS-CORRECTED
House effects removed
INDIVIDUAL POLLS
raw readings
EVENT
curated
55%60%65%70%75%80%85%1974 · GSS series begins1994 · Peak support — tough-…2018 · Support at modern lowRAW 62.3CORR 63.619741985199620072018

What's changed

1974
GSS series begins
66%
1994
Peak support — tough-on-crime era
77%
2018
Support at modern low
62%