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approval · polls

Joe Biden job approval

APPROVE
37.8%
DISAPPROVE
56.3%
NET
−18.5

approve over time

LOESS CONSENSUS
4717 polls
BIAS-CORRECTED
House effects removed
INDIVIDUAL POLLS
raw readings
EVENT
curated
35%40%45%50%55%60%2021 · Afghanistan withdrawa…2022 · Inflation peaks at 9.…2024 · Exits 2024 raceRAW 39.7CORR 38.820212022202320242025

Pollster house effects

Pollsters on this topic · 110
D-LEAN
NEUTRAL
R-LEAN
← UNDERSTATES SUPPORTOVERSTATES SUPPORT →-3pp0pp+3ppPureSpectrum-6.0Redfield & Wilton Strategies-5.3Marquette University Law Scho…Marquette University Law School+3.0Opinium-2.9YouGov-2.9TIPP-2.5SoCal Strategies-2.5Harris Poll+2.2Selzer-2.1Premise-2.1Winston-2.1Emerson-2.0
MOST ALIGNED
John Zogby Strategies
+0.0pp
Track record matches consensus to within 0.0 pp across 4 polls.
LARGEST HOUSE EFFECT
PureSpectrum
-6.0pp
Consistently understates support relative to consensus; weight in aggregate is downgraded accordingly.

What's changed

2021
Inauguration
56%
2021
Afghanistan withdrawal completes
48%
2022
Inflation peaks at 9.1%
41%
2024
Exits 2024 race
40%