Races · Senate · 2024 · Nebraska
Senate · open seat
Preston Love Jr. vs Pete Ricketts
Where this race stands
VerifiedLikely R · model 99% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+13) suggests Likely R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+31.0 with an 80% CI ranging from R+43.0 (10th pctile) to R+19.0 (90th pctile), giving R a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · likely-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +31.0
80% CI: R +43.0 → R +19.0 · win prob 1%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · high
| Polls used | 5 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | Pete Ricketts ( inc. ) +25.2 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 5 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Lean | Bias · track | vs raters | D · R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | Economist/YouGov | 1,202 · LV | NEUTRAL | — | — | 36 · 54 |
| Oct 25 | NYT/Siena College+1For · The New York Times | 1,194 · LV | NEUTRAL | — | — | 38 · 56 |
| Oct 11 | SurveyUSA+1For · SurveyUSA | 563 · LV | NEUTRAL | D +0.194 tracked | -0.5aligned | 37 · 53 |
| Sep 22 | SurveyUSA+1For · SurveyUSA | 558 · LV | NEUTRAL | D +0.194 tracked | -0.5aligned | 35 · 53 |
| Aug 26 | SurveyUSA+1For · SurveyUSA | 1,293 · RV | NEUTRAL | D +0.194 tracked | -0.5aligned | 33 · 50 |
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetRPete Ricketts0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
DPreston Love Jr.0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-10-31Preston Love Jr.S4NE00223 ↗
Receipts
$283.2K
Disburse
$278.1K
Cash on hand
$9.9K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$3.5K
Lawyers / law firms · $3.5K
- Domina Law · $2.5K
- Sullivan & Cromwell LLP · $1.0K
Individuals $3.5K · PACs $0
Pharma / health products$1.5K
Pharma / health products · $1.5K
- Abbvie · $1.5K
Individuals $1.5K · PACs $0
Top contributors
LOZIER ENTERPRISE$6.6K
OPERA OMAHA$6.6K
CUNY$3.3K
PARK FOUNDATION$3.3K
DOMINA LAW$2.5K
Pete RickettsS6NE00129 ↗
Receipts
$5.9M
Disburse
$5.4M
Cash on hand
$487.0K
Debts
$6.0K
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$18.5K
Lawyers / law firms · $18.5K
- Kirkland & Ellis LLP · $18.5K
Individuals $18.5K · PACs $0
Top contributors
MARQUIS MANAGEMENT, INC.$39.6K
SANDHILLS PUBLISHING$26.4K
UNION PACIFIC$24.8K
COX ENTERPRISES$23.0K
KIRKLAND & ELLIS LLP$18.5K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$115.4K
D side
$70.0K · 61%
R side
$45.4K · 39%
Top spender
CAVALRY PAC
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAVALRY PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $70.0K | 61% | for Preston Love Jr. |
| NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $18.1K | 16% | for Pete Ricketts |
| NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE pac · boosts R
| R | $16.5K | 14% | for Pete Ricketts |
| NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND pac · boosts R
| R | $10.8K | 9% | for Pete Ricketts |
| SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION super pac · boosts D
| D | $10 | 0% | for Preston Love Jr. |
Editorial ratings · 8 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe R8
Safe R · 8 raters
- CNalysis · Nov 20
- The Cook Political Report · Nov 8
- Decision Desk HQ / The Hill · Jun 7
- Elections Daily · May 3
- 538 · Oct 22
- Inside Elections · Nov 8
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Nov 8
- Split Ticket · Oct 22
CNalysis
Safe RThe Cook Political Report
Safe RDecision Desk HQ / The Hill
Safe RElections Daily
Safe R538
Safe RInside Elections
Safe RSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe RSplit Ticket
Safe RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified5 / 5deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-10-31
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks