Races · Senate · 2022 · AL
Senate · class II · open seat
Will Boyd vs Katie Britt
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 1 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Safe R
safe-r
Polling average
Simple Weighted House-corrected Trimmed LOESS Kalman
Method:Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
|Toggle:
All polls · 1 results
1 of 1 polls
| End | Pollster | Weight | Lean | Sample | MoE | Pop | Trust signals | Results | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/29/2022 | Cygnal | 1.04 | R(D+1.8) | 616 | — | LV | 1289d old✓ verified 5d ago+2
| Katie Britt 57.0 · Will Boyd 28.0 · John Sophocleus 6.0 | pollarch |
Trust signals are deterministic flags computed from the pollster scorecard (track-record size, historical bias, aggregation weight) and the poll itself (sample size, population, age, citation availability). No interpretation; click any row to see the cited numbers behind each flag.
Endorsements
Source · Wikipedia · 157 total Katie Britt (R)
148 endorsements · source
Elected officials (93)
- Alabama's 2nd congressional district — r candidate for Alabama's 2nd congressional district in 2020 and withdrawn candidate for Senate in 2022 (switched endorsement from Durant) [ 87 ]
- Alan Baker — Alabama State Representative for District 66 ( Brewton , 2006–present) [ 40 ]
- Allen Farley — Alabama State Representative for District 15 ( Pleasant Grove , 2010–2022) [ 40 ]
- Andrew Jones — Alabama State Senator for District 10 ( Centre , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Andy Whitt — Alabama State Representative for District 6 ( Harvest , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Arnold Mooney — Alabama State Representative for District 43 (2014–present) [ 77 ]
- Barry Moore — U.S. Representative for Alabama's 2nd congressional district (2021–present) [ 29 ]
- Ben Robbins — Alabama State Representative for District 33 ( Sylacauga , 2021–present) [ 40 ]
- Bill Armistead — Alabama State Senator for District 14 (1995–2003), Chair of the Alabama Republican Party (2011–2015) [ 75 ]
- Brett Easterbrook — Alabama State Representative for District 65 ( Fruitdale , 2016–present) [ 40 ]
- Brian Babin — U.S. Representative for Texas's 36th congressional district (2015–present) [ 71 ]
- Chip Brown — Alabama State Representative for District 105 ( Dauphin Island , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Chris Blackshear — Alabama State Representative for District 80 ( Smiths Station , 2016–present) [ 40 ]
- Chris Elliott — Alabama State Senator for District 32 ( Fairhope , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Chris Sells — Alabama State Representative for District 90 ( Greenville , 2014–present) [ 40 ]
- Clay Scofield — former majority leader of the Alabama Senate , Alabama State Senator for District 9 ( Guntersville , 2010–2023) [ 40 ]
- Corley Ellis — Alabama State Representative for District 41 ( Columbiana , 2016–present) [ 40 ]
- Craig Lipscomb — Alabama State Representative for District 29 ( Gadsden , 2012–present) [ 40 ]
- Cynthia Almond — Alabama State Representative for District 63 ( Tuscaloosa , 2021–2025) [ 40 ]
- Danny Crawford — Alabama State Representative for District 5 ( Athens , 2016–present) [ 40 ]
- Danny Garrett — majority whip of the Alabama House of Representatives, Alabama State Representative for District 44 ( Trussville , 2014–present) [ 40 ]
- David Faulkner — Alabama State Representative for District 46 ( Homewood , 2014–present) [ 40 ]
- David Sessions — Alabama State Senator for District 35 ( Grand Bay , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- David Standridge — Alabama State Representative for District 34 ( Hayden , 2012–present) [ 40 ]
- Deb Fischer — U.S. Senator from Nebraska (2013–present) [ 36 ]
- Debbie Wood — Alabama State Representative for District 38 ( Valley , 2018–2025) [ 40 ]
- Donald Trump — 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) (switched endorsement from Brooks) [ 31 ]
- Donald Trump Jr. — businessman and son of former President Donald Trump [ 88 ]
- Donnie Chesteen — Alabama State Senator for District 29 ( Geneva , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Ed Oliver — Alabama State Representative for District 81 ( Alexander City , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Garlan Gudger — Alabama State Senator for District 4 ( Cullman , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Gil Isbell — Alabama State Representative for District 28 ( Gadsden , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Ginny Shaver — Alabama State Representative for District 39 ( Leesburg , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Greg Albritton — Alabama State Senator for District 22 ( Atmore , 2014–present) [ 40 ]
- Harry Shiver — Alabama State Representative for District 64 ( Bay Minette , 2006–2022) [ 40 ]
- Howard Sanderford — Alabama State Representative for District 20 ( Huntsville , 1989–2022) [ 40 ]
- Ivan Smith — Alabama State Representative for District 42 ( Billingsley , 2019–present) [ 40 ]
- J. T. Waggoner — Alabama State Senator for District 16 ( Vestavia Hills , 1990–present) [ 40 ]
- Jack W. Williams — Alabama State Senator for District 34 ( Wilmer , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Jamie Kiel — Alabama State Representative for District 18 ( Russellville , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Jeff Sorrells — Alabama State Representative for District 87 ( Hartford , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Jim Inhofe — U.S. Senator from Oklahoma (1994–2023) [ 34 ]
- Jim Jordan — U.S. Representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present) [ 72 ]
- Joe Faust — Alabama State Representative for District 94 ( Fairhope , 2004–2022) [ 40 ]
- Joe Lovvorn — Alabama State Representative for District 79 ( Auburn , 2016–present) [ 40 ]
- John Thune — U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present) [ 33 ]
- Joni Ernst — U.S. Senator from Iowa (2015–present) [ 33 ]
- Kyle South — Alabama State Representative for District 16 ( Fayette , 2014–2023) [ 40 ]
- Lindsey Graham — U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present) [ 33 ]
- Mac McCutcheon — former Speaker of the Alabama House of Representatives, Alabama State Representative for District 25 ( Monrovia , 2006–2022) [ 40 ]
- Margie Wilcox — Alabama State Representative for District 104 ( Mobile , 2014–present) [ 40 ]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene — . U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present) [ 74 ]
- Matt Simpson — Alabama State Representative for District 96 ( Daphne , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Nathaniel Ledbetter — former majority leader of the Alabama House of Representatives, Alabama State Representative for District 24 ( Rainsville , 2014–present) [ 40 ]
- Parker Griffith — former U.S. Representative from Alabama's 5th congressional district (2009–2011) (Democratic) [ 39 ]
- Paul Lee — Alabama State Representative for District 86 ( Dothan , 2010–present) [ 40 ]
- Proncey Robertson — Alabama State Representative for District 7 ( Mount Hope , 2018–2022) [ 40 ]
- Rand Paul — U.S. Senator from Kentucky (2011–present) [ 70 ]
- Randall Shedd — Alabama State Representative for District 11 ( Cullman , 2013–2025) [ 40 ]
- Randy Price — Alabama State Senator for District 13 ( Opelika , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Reed Ingram — Alabama State Representative for District 75 ( Mathews , 2014–present) [ 40 ]
- Rex Reynolds — Alabama State Representative for District 21 ( Huntsville , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Rhett Marques — Alabama State Representative for District 91 ( Enterprise , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Richard Shelby — U.S. Senator from Alabama (1987–2023) [ 38 ]
- Ritchie Whorton — Alabama State Representative for District 22 (2014–present) [ 76 ]
- Rodney Sullivan — Alabama State Representative for District 61 ( Northport , 2018–2022) [ 40 ]
- Roy Moore — former Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of Alabama , Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2017 and former U.S. Senate candidate in 2020 [ 80 ]
- Russell Bedsole — Alabama State Representative for District 49 ( Alabaster , 2020–present) [ 40 ]
- Ryan Zinke — 52nd United States Secretary of the Interior (2017–2019) and former U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2015–2017) [ 98 ]
- Sandy Stimpson — mayor of Mobile (2013–2025) [ 41 ]
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders — former White House Press Secretary (2017–2019) and candidate for Governor of Arkansas in 2022 [ 32 ]
- Scott Perry — U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district (2013–present), chairman of the House Freedom Caucus (2022–present) [ 72 ]
- Sebastian Gorka — former Deputy Assistant to the President (2017), media personality, military and intelligence analyst [ 85 ]
- Senate Conservatives Fund — [ 96 ]
- Shelley Moore Capito — U.S. Senator from West Virginia (2015–present) [ 33 ]
- Steve Clouse — Alabama State Representative for District 93 ( Ozark , 1994–present) [ 40 ]
- Steve Flowers — columnist, political commentator and former state representative (1982–1998) [ 44 ]
- Steve Hurst — Alabama State Representative for District 35 ( Munford , 1998–present) [ 40 ]
- Susan Collins — U.S. Senator from Maine (1997–present) [ 34 ]
- Ted Cruz — U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present) [ 69 ]
- Terri Collins — Alabama State Representative for District 8 ( Decatur , 2010–present) [ 40 ]
- Thom Tillis — U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–present) [ 34 ]
- Thomas Massie — U.S. Representative for Kentucky's 4th congressional district (2012–present) [ 73 ]
- Tim Scott — U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present) [ 37 ]
- Tom Cotton — U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present) [ 35 ]
- Tom Whatley — Alabama State Senator for District 27 ( Auburn , 2010–2022) [ 40 ]
- Tommy Hanes — Alabama State Representative for District 23 (2014–present) [ 76 ]
- Tracy Estes — Alabama State Representative for District 17 ( Winfield , 2018–present) [ 40 ]
- Victor Gaston — president pro tempore of the Alabama House of Representatives, Alabama State Representative for District 100 ( Mobile , 1982–2022) [ 40 ]
- Wendy Rogers — Arizona State Senator for District 6 (2021–present) [ 78 ]
- Wes Kitchens — Alabama State Representative for District 27 ( Arab , 2018–2024) [ 40 ]
- William G. Boykin — retired lieutenant general and former Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence (2002–2007) [ 99 ]
- [ 22 ] — unn, Marine Corps veteran, withdrawn candidate for Senate in 2022, candidate for State Senate district 17 [ 22 ]
Newspapers (2)
- Mark Levin — author, lawyer, host of conservative talk show The Mark Levin Show and Life, Liberty & Levin on Fox News [ 81 ]
- Yellowhammer News — servative talk radio host of The Dale Jackson Show and Yellowhammer News contributor [ 82 ]
Organizations / unions (22)
- American Family Association — he American Family Association [ 86 ]
- American Principles Project — [ 86 ]
- Kelli Ward — Chair of the Arizona Republican Party (2019–2023) [ 73 ]
- National Association for Gun Rights — [ 94 ]
- National Association of Realtors — [ 58 ]
- National Wildlife Federation — Action Fund [ 59 ]
- Terry Lathan — Chair of the Alabama Republican Party (2015–2021) [ 75 ]
- [ 102 ] — Veterans for Congress PAC [ 102 ]
- [ 103 ] — rfect Union [ 103 ]
- [ 47 ] — a Farmers Federation [ 47 ]
- [ 48 ] — a Forestry Association [ 48 ]
- [ 49 ] — a Mining Association [ 49 ]
- [ 50 ] — a Restaurant and Hospitality Association [ 50 ]
- [ 51 ] — a Retail Association [ 51 ]
- [ 52 ] — a Rural Electric Association of Cooperatives [ 52 ]
- [ 53 ] — bile Dealers Association of Alabama [ 53 ]
- [ 54 ] — uilders Association of Alabama [ 54 ]
- [ 62 ] — ss-Industry PAC [ 62 ]
- [ 64 ] — g For Women PAC [ 64 ]
- [ 79 ] — Connors, Chair of the Alabama Republican Party (2001–2005) [ 79 ]
- [ 86 ] — Rios, American Family Association member and talk radio host [ 86 ]
- [ 94 ] — ans for Legal Immigration PAC [ 94 ]
Individuals / celebrities (4)
- Glenn Beck — conservative political commentator and host of the Glenn Beck Radio Program [ 81 ]
- Ted Nugent — musician and activist (switched endorsement from Taylor) [ 100 ]
- [ 82 ] — Earnest, conservative talk radio host of The Health and Wealth Show [ 82 ]
- [ 83 ] — Marie Fogel, conservative talk radio host of Straight Talk with Apryl Marie [ 83 ]
Other (27)
- 30 — 40%
- 40 — 50%
- 50 — 60%
- 60 — 70%
- Associated Builders and Contractors of Alabama
- Charlie Kirk — conservative activist and founder of Turning Point USA [ 84 ]
- Club for Growth — [ 92 ]
- Eagle Forum — [ 86 ]
- FreedomWorks — [ 93 ]
- Gun Owners of America — [ 86 ]
- Maggie's List — [ 56 ]
- Michael Flynn — 25th United States National Security Advisor (2017) (Democratic) [ 67 ] (switched endorsement to Durant) [ 68 ]
- NRA Political Victory Fund — [ 97 ]
- Roy Drinkard — businessman and Marine Corps veteran [ 43 ]
- Siran Stacy — former University of Alabama Crimson Tide running back [ 45 ]
- Turning Point Action — [ 84 ]
- [ 46 ] — a Associated General Contractors [ 46 ]
- [ 55 ] — of Southeastern Credit Unions [ 55 ]
- [ 57 ] — cture Alabama [ 57 ]
- [ 60 ] — a Conservatives Fund [ 60 ]
- [ 61 ] — a RetailPAC [ 61 ]
- [ 63 ] — AC [ 63 ]
- [ 89 ] — a Republican Assembly [ 89 ]
- [ 90 ] — rry [ 90 ]
- [ 91 ] — ian Conservatives of Alabama [ 91 ]
- [ 95 ] — icans for National Renewal [ 95 ]
- [ 98 ] — AC [ 98 ]
Will Boyd (D)
9 endorsements · source
Organizations / unions (2)
- United Mine Workers of America — s of America [ 153 ]
- [ 154 ] — New South Alliance [ 154 ]
Other (7)
- 40 — 50%
- 50 — 60%
- 60 — 70%
- 70 — 80%
- Alabama Democratic Conference — [ 153 ]
- Barbour County — Democrats [ 153 ]
- Jefferson County — Millennials [ 153 ]
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-10-17Total IE spending
$28.5M
For candidates
$22.5M
Against candidates
$5.9M
Latest filing: 10/17/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Katie Britt (R)
$22.5M for ·
$5.9M against
Cash on hand
$1.7M
Total raised (cycle)
$11.5M
Total spent
$9.7M
Debts
$30K
Source: FEC
- $10.2M for AMERICAN DREAM FEDERAL ACTION Super PAC
- $8.3M for ALABAMA CONSERVATIVES FUND Super PAC
- $4.7M against CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC Super PAC
- $3.5M for ALABAMA CHRISTIAN CONSERVATIVES Super PAC
- $1.1M against ALABAMA PATRIOTS PAC Super PAC
Will Boyd (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$13K
Total raised (cycle)
$135K
Total spent
$122K
Debts
$5K
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
Editorial ratings · poll-vs-rater
6 raters| Rater | Rating | Updated | Poll D-marg. | Rater marg. | Δ poll−rater |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | Mar 4 | — | -18.0 | — |
| DDHQ | Safe R | Jul 20 | — | -18.0 | — |
| The Economist | Safe R | Sep 7 | — | -18.0 | — |
| 538 | Safe R | Jun 30 | — | -18.0 | — |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | Apr 1 | — | -18.0 | — |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | Mar 1 | — | -18.0 | — |
Δ POLL−RATER = polling-consensus margin minus the rater's implied bucket midpoint. Positive = polls more D than rater; negative = rater more D than polls. |Δ| < 0.6 well-aligned · 0.6–1.5 mild divergence · ≥1.5 contested call.
last poll 43 months ago (10/29/2022) last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 7/11/2022 Safe R via pvi