Races · Senate · 2020 · Delaware
Senate · class II · open seat
Chris Coons vs Lauren Witzke
Where this race stands
VerifiedLean D · model 99% D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+6) suggests Lean D.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+31.0 with an 80% CI ranging from D+19.0 (10th pctile) to D+43.0 (90th pctile), giving D a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · lean-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +31.0
80% CI: D +19.0 → D +43.0 · win prob 99%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 1 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | D+21.5 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 1 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Lean | Bias · track | vs raters | D · R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | University of Delaware | 847 · LV | NEUTRAL | — | — | 57 · 27 |
Endorsements · 33 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet30
3
Endorsements tracked
Chris Coons30 · 91%
Lauren Witzke3 · 9%
Total33
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
DChris Coons30 endorsers
Most notable · Joe Biden · 47th Vice President of the United States (2009-2017), United States Senator from Delaware (1973-2009), Democratic nominee for the 2020 election
Other16
Other · 16
- 314 Action
- Brady Campaign
- Brand New Congress
- Democratic Majority for Israel
- Democratic Socialists of America
- End Citizens United
- Everytown for Gun Safety
- Giffords
- Human Rights Campaign
- John Kowalko · Member of the Delaware House of Representatives from the 25th district (2006-present)
- Moms Demand Action
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Planned Parenthood
- Sean Lynn · Member of the Delaware House of Representatives from the 31st district (2014-present)
- Sierra Club
- Sunrise Movement · Newark Hub
Organizations9
Organizations · 9
- AFL-CIO · e AFL-CIO
- American Bankers Association
- Council for a Livable World
- Humane Society of the United States · Legislative Fund
- Jewish Democratic Council of America
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
- League of Conservation Voters
- Natural Resources Defense Council · Action Fund
- Working Families Party
Elected officials5
Federal 1State 2Local 0
Elected officials · 5
- Joe Biden · 47th Vice President of the United States (2009-2017), United States Senator from Delaware (1973-2009), Democratic nominee for the 2020 election
- Margaret Rose Henry · Member of the Delaware Senate from the 2nd District (1994-2019), Majority Leader of the Delaware Senate (2017-2019)
- Nicole Poore · Majority Leader of the Delaware Senate (2009-present), Member of the Delaware Senate from the district 12 (2013-present)
- Jack Markell · Governor of Delaware (2009-2017), Treasurer of Delaware (1999-2009)
- Sarah McBride · LGBTQ rights activist, National Press Secretary of the Human Rights Campaign and candidate for the Delaware State Senate
RLauren Witzke3 endorsers
Most notable · Paul Gosar · U.S. representative from Arizona (2011–present)
Elected officials1
Federal 1State 0Local 0
Elected officials · 1
- Paul Gosar · U.S. representative from Arizona (2011–present)
Organizations1
Organizations · 1
- Republican State Committee of Delaware
Other1
Other · 1
- Nick Fuentes · white nationalist activist
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-11-20Chris CoonsS0DE00092 ↗
Receipts
$6.1M
Disburse
$4.7M
Cash on hand
$1.8M
Debts
$0
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$90.6K
Lawyers / law firms · $90.6K
- Young Conaway Stargatt & Taylor LLP · $48.2K
- Young Conaway Stargatt & Taylor, LLP · $42.4K
- Paul Weiss Rifkind Wharton & Garrison · $19.4K
Individuals $90.6K · PACs $0
Securities & investment$66.0K
Securities & investment · $66.0K
- Apollo Global Management · $66.0K
Individuals $66.0K · PACs $0
Pharma / health products$31.0K
Pharma / health products · $31.0K
- Amgen, INC. · $31.0K
Individuals $31.0K · PACs $0
TV / movies / music$25.7K
TV / movies / music · $25.7K
- Comcast · $25.7K
Individuals $25.7K · PACs $0
Computers / electronics$25.1K
Computers / electronics · $25.1K
- Microsoft · $25.1K
Individuals $25.1K · PACs $0
Top contributors
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT$66.0K
YOUNG CONAWAY STARGATT & TAYLOR LLP$48.2K
YOUNG CONAWAY STARGATT & TAYLOR, LLP$42.4K
AMGEN, INC.$31.0K
DUPONT$27.3K
Lauren Witzke
Receipts
$479.5K
Disburse
$476.2K
Cash on hand
$3.3K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Internet$6.1K
Internet · $6.1K
- Sheet Metal Contracting · $6.1K
Individuals $6.1K · PACs $0
Crop production$3.5K
Crop production · $3.5K
- Farmer Fresh Produce · $3.5K
Individuals $3.5K · PACs $0
Top contributors
STEVIE STACKS ENTERTAINMENT$6.8K
SHEET METAL CONTRACTING$6.1K
BERG BERG$5.6K
EMA$5.0K
FARMER FRESH PRODUCE$3.5K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$1.1K
D side
$1.1K · 100%
R side
$0 · 0%
Top spender
CARE ACTION
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARE ACTION pac · boosts D
| D | $1.0K | 89% | for Chris Coons |
| PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES super pac · boosts D
| D | $115.05 | 10% | for Chris Coons |
| SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION super pac · boosts D
| D | $10 | 1% | for Chris Coons |
Editorial ratings · 5 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe D5
Safe D · 5 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Oct 28
- DDHQ · Nov 2
- 538 · Nov 1
- Inside Elections · Oct 27
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Nov 1
The Cook Political Report
Safe DDDHQ
Safe D538
Safe DInside Elections
Safe DSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified1 / 1deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-11-20
Endorsements33 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks