Races · President · 2020 · Wisconsin President · open seat
Wisconsin President Tilt R — polls · 61 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Tilt R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+2) suggests Tilt R .
CITATIONS · tilt-r
Joe Biden
On April 25, 2019, former vice president Joe Biden released a video announcing his candidacy in the 2020 Democratic Party presidential prima…
51%avg Donald Trump
Donald Trump ran a successful campaign for the 2016 U.S. presidential election. He formally announced his campaign on June 16, 2015, at Trum…
44%avg All polls · 61 results Date Pollster · trust signals n · pop Lean Bias · track vs raters D · R Oct 30 Civiqs 789 · unknown D-LEAN D +2.5 22 tracked +4.0 d lean — Oct 30 Research Co. 450 · unknown NEUTRAL D +1.4 50 tracked -0.7 aligned — Oct 30 Change Research 553 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.7 18 tracked +5.7 noisy — Oct 29 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. 450 · unknown R-LEAN — — — Oct 29 AtlasIntel 781 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.3 30 tracked -4.0 r lean — Oct 28 Emerson College 751 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.7 118 tracked +0.8 aligned — Oct 28 Ipsos 696 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 28 Swayable +1 253 · unknown D-LEAN D +7.8 17 tracked +2.5 d lean — Oct 27 The New York Times/Siena College 1,253 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 27 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 800 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Oct 26 SSRS 873 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 25 Morning Consult 1,002 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.2 30 tracked +1.8 aligned — Oct 25 SurveyMonkey +2 2,814 · unknown D-LEAN D +6.4 240 tracked +2.2 noisy — Oct 24 Swayable +1 313 · unknown D-LEAN D +7.8 17 tracked +2.5 d lean — Oct 23 Trafalgar Group 1,082 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Oct 22 Gravis Marketing 677 · unknown D-LEAN D +2.9 33 tracked +0.1 aligned — Oct 22 Ipsos 664 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 22 Marquette University Law School 749 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 21 ABC News/The Washington Post 809 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 18 Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research 1,037 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 17 Change Research 447 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.7 18 tracked +5.7 noisy — Oct 17 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. 500 · unknown R-LEAN — — — Oct 16 RMG Research 800 · unknown D-LEAN D +6.6 8 tracked +2.6 d lean — Oct 16 YouGov 647 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.4 23 tracked +2.2 d lean — Oct 15 Ipsos 663 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 15 Latino Decisions 400 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 14 YouGov 1,112 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.4 23 tracked +2.2 d lean — Oct 14 Trafalgar Group 1,051 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Oct 14 Morning Consult 1,038 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.2 30 tracked +1.8 aligned — Oct 11 David Binder Research 200 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 11 Trafalgar Group 1,043 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Oct 11 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 691 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Oct 9 The New York Times/Siena College 789 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 9 Civiqs 560 · unknown D-LEAN D +2.5 22 tracked +4.0 d lean — Oct 8 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 613 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Oct 7 Ipsos 577 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 5 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 688 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Oct 4 SurveyMonkey +2 4,511 · unknown D-LEAN D +6.4 240 tracked +2.2 noisy — Oct 3 Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute 883 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 2 Change Research 442 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.7 18 tracked +5.7 noisy — Oct 1 Ipsos 601 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 1 Marquette University Law School 700 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Sep 26 Trafalgar Group 1,084 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Sep 24 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. 500 · unknown R-LEAN — — — Sep 24 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 663 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Sep 23 Trafalgar Group 1,189 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Sep 23 OnMessage Inc. +1 145 · unknown NEUTRAL R +0.2 5 tracked -4.1 r lean — Sep 21 Marist College 727 · unknown D-LEAN D +2.0 25 tracked +1.7 aligned — Sep 18 Change Research 571 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.7 18 tracked +5.7 noisy — Sep 17 Garin Hart Yang Research Group * 400 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Sep 15 YouGov 664 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.4 23 tracked +2.2 d lean — Sep 14 Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute 863 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Sep 13 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 636 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Sep 12 Civiqs 704 · unknown D-LEAN D +2.5 22 tracked +4.0 d lean — Sep 12 Ipsos 609 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Sep 10 SSRS 816 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Sep 10 Morning Consult 800 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.2 30 tracked +1.8 aligned — Sep 9 ABC News/The Washington Post 605 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Sep 8 The New York Times/Siena College 760 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Sep 6 Emerson College 823 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.7 118 tracked +0.8 aligned — Sep 4 Change Research 501 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.7 18 tracked +5.7 noisy —
Endorsements · 0 total Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet DEM Joe Biden 0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REP Donald Trump 0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25 Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Outside spending · independent expenditures FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports Top spender
PRIORITIES USA ACTION
For / against split
For Biden $6.0M
Against Trump $1.8M
Against Biden $22.7K
For Trump $330.9K
Spender Side Amount Share Target PRIORITIES USA ACTION super pac · boosts D
Spent · $2.8M Direction · for Joe Biden Share of IE · 35% D $2.8M 35% for Joe Biden UNITE HERE PAC super pac · boosts D
Spent · $953.8K Direction · for Joe Biden Share of IE · 12% D $953.8K 12% for Joe Biden FOR OUR FUTURE super pac · boosts D
Spent · $952.5K Direction · against Donald Trump Share of IE · 12% D $952.5K 12% against Donald Trump VOTE NURSES VALUES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE: CALIFORNIA NURSES ASSOCIATION super pac · boosts D
Spent · $729.8K Direction · for Joe Biden Share of IE · 9% D $729.8K 9% for Joe Biden PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL super pac · boosts D
Spent · $714.3K Direction · for Joe Biden Share of IE · 9% D $714.3K 9% for Joe Biden UNIDOSUS ACTION PAC super pac · boosts D
Spent · $495.9K Direction · for Joe Biden Share of IE · 6% D $495.9K 6% for Joe Biden SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PAC super pac · boosts R
Spent · $286.6K Direction · for Donald Trump Share of IE · 4% R $286.6K 4% for Donald Trump PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES super pac · boosts D
Spent · $250.0K Direction · against Donald Trump Share of IE · 3% D $250.0K 3% against Donald Trump MIJENTE PAC super pac · boosts D
Spent · $74.2K Direction · against Donald Trump Share of IE · 1% D $74.2K 1% against Donald Trump
Demographic crosstabs age · education · race · gender No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 13, 2026 tilt-r pvi May 13, 2026 · change
Moved to tilt-r
Verification trail
Polls verified 0 / 61deterministic
Polls flagged —none
Markets ingested 0 platformsnone listed
FEC filings syncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsements —nothing to sync
News coverage < 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks