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Races · President · 2020 · Pennsylvania
President · open seat

Pennsylvania President

Tilt R polls· 89 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Tilt R

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+2) suggests Tilt R.

CITATIONS · tilt-r

Polling average

354045505560BIDEN 50.2TRUMP 45.5SEP '20OCT '20OCT '20
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 89 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popLeanBias · trackvs ratersD · R
Oct 31Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.499 · unknownR-LEAN
Oct 30Research Co.450 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.450 tracked-0.7aligned
Oct 30AYTM340 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 30Rasmussen Reports800 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.9124 tracked-0.9aligned
Oct 30Marist College772 · unknownD-LEAND +2.025 tracked+1.7aligned
Oct 30Change Research699 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Oct 29InsiderAdvantage500 · unknownR-LEANR +2.838 tracked-0.5aligned
Oct 29Monmouth University Polling Institute502 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 29Frederick Polls879 · unknownD-LEAN
Oct 29Trafalgar Group1,062 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 29Swayable1,107 · unknownD-LEAND +7.817 tracked+2.5d lean
Oct 28AtlasIntel672 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.330 tracked-4.0r lean
Oct 28Ipsos673 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Oct 28Emerson College823 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.7118 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 28Data for Progress1,417 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.151 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 27Harris Insights & Analytics901 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 27Public Policy Polling1,012 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.9104 tracked+2.4noisy
Oct 27The New York Times/Siena College1,862 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 27Redfield & Wilton Strategies2,125 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Oct 26Targoz Market Research998 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.712 tracked+4.3noisy
Oct 26Wick1,000 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 25RMG Research800 · unknownD-LEAND +6.68 tracked+2.6d lean
Oct 25ABC News/The Washington Post810 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 25Morning Consult+12,686 · unknownD-LEAND +5.230 tracked+1.8aligned
Oct 25SurveyMonkey+26,045 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 24InsiderAdvantage400 · unknownR-LEANR +2.838 tracked-0.5aligned
Oct 24Civiqs1,145 · unknownD-LEAND +2.522 tracked+4.0d lean
Oct 24Quinnipiac University1,324 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.454 tracked+1.1aligned
Oct 24Swayable491 · unknownD-LEAND +7.817 tracked+2.5d lean
Oct 24Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion419 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 23Trafalgar Group1,076 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 22Gravis Marketing602 · unknownD-LEAND +2.933 tracked+0.1aligned
Oct 22Ipsos655 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Oct 21Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research558 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 20Public Policy Polling890 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.9104 tracked+2.4noisy
Oct 20Univision/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research723 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 18Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research1,045 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 18Civiqs1,577 · unknownD-LEAND +2.522 tracked+4.0d lean
Oct 18Citizen Data1,000 · unknownNEUTRALD +6.63 tracked
Oct 17Rasmussen Reports800 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.9124 tracked-0.9aligned
Oct 17Change Research574 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Oct 17Quinnipiac University1,241 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.454 tracked+1.1aligned
Oct 16Suffolk University500 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.221 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 16SSRS843 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 16Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion416 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 16YouGov669 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Oct 15Ipsos653 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Oct 14Morning Consult+12,563 · unknownD-LEAND +5.230 tracked+1.8aligned
Oct 13Harris Insights & Analytics992 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 13Trafalgar Group1,041 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 12YouGov2,703 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Oct 11InsiderAdvantage400 · unknownR-LEANR +2.838 tracked-0.5aligned
Oct 11Redfield & Wilton Strategies1,289 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Oct 10Trafalgar Group1,034 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 9Civiqs600 · unknownD-LEAND +2.522 tracked+4.0d lean
Oct 8RMG Research800 · unknownD-LEAND +6.68 tracked+2.6d lean
Oct 8Redfield & Wilton Strategies1,145 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Oct 7Ipsos622 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Oct 6Whitman Insight Strategies517 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 4Redfield & Wilton Strategies927 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Oct 4SurveyMonkey+28,803 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 3Emerson College688 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.7118 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 3Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute1,140 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 2Change Research468 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Oct 2Quinnipiac University1,211 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.454 tracked+1.1aligned
Oct 1Ipsos605 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Oct 1Monmouth University Polling Institute500 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 30The New York Times/Siena College706 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 30YouGov1,187 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Sep 25The New York Times/Siena College711 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 24TIPP Insights774 · unknownNEUTRAL+2.7decoupled
Sep 23Redfield & Wilton Strategies1,015 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Sep 22ABC News/The Washington Post568 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 21Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research856 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 19Trafalgar Group1,006 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Sep 18Change Research579 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Sep 17Garin Hart Yang Research Group *400 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 16Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research480 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 15Trafalgar Group1,006 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Sep 15CPEC820 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 15YouGov642 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Sep 14Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute1,012 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 12Civiqs549 · unknownD-LEAND +2.522 tracked+4.0d lean
Sep 12Redfield & Wilton Strategies1,036 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Sep 12Ipsos611 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Sep 9Climate Nexus659 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 4Change Research829 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Sep 4TargetSmart835 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 3Marist College771 · unknownD-LEAND +2.025 tracked+1.7aligned
· 89 polls · 10 per page

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DEMJoe Biden0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REPDonald Trump0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25
Joe BidenP80000722 ↗
Receipts
$1.1B
Disburse
$1.1B
Cash on hand
$260.5K
Debts
$0
No industry data.
No contributor data.
Donald TrumpP80001571 ↗
Receipts
$744.4M
Disburse
$752.9M
Cash on hand
$10.7M
Debts
$2.7M
No industry data.
No contributor data.

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$8.1M
D side
$7.8M · 96%
R side
$353.6K · 4%
Top spender
PRIORITIES USA ACTION
For / against split
For Biden $6.0M
Against Trump $1.8M
Against Biden $22.7K
For Trump $330.9K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
PRIORITIES USA ACTIOND$2.8M35%for Joe Biden
UNITE HERE PACD$953.8K12%for Joe Biden
FOR OUR FUTURED$952.5K12%against Donald Trump
VOTE NURSES VALUES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE: CALIFORNIA NURSES ASSOCIATIOND$729.8K9%for Joe Biden
PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERALD$714.3K9%for Joe Biden
UNIDOSUS ACTION PACD$495.9K6%for Joe Biden
SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PACR$286.6K4%for Donald Trump
PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESD$250.0K3%against Donald Trump
MIJENTE PACD$74.2K1%against Donald Trump

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 13, 2026tilt-rpvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 89deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks