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Races · President · 2020 · Nevada
President · open seat

Nevada President

Tossup polls· 18 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Tossup

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+0) suggests Tossup.

CITATIONS · tossup

Polling average

4044485256BIDEN 49.5TRUMP 45.4SEP '20OCT '20OCT '20
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 18 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popLeanBias · trackvs ratersD · R
Oct 31Trafalgar Group1,024 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 29Emerson College720 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.7118 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 28Data for Progress1,442 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.151 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 27Trafalgar Group1,024 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 26Gravis Marketing688 · unknownD-LEAND +2.933 tracked+0.1aligned
Oct 25SurveyMonkey+22,366 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 24The New York Times/Siena College809 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 19University of Nevada, Las Vegas Lee Business School802 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 18Civiqs712 · unknownD-LEAND +2.522 tracked+4.0d lean
Oct 8WPA Intelligence512 · unknownR-LEAN-1.2aligned
Oct 7YouGov1,036 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Oct 5SurveyMonkey+22,549 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 3The New York Times/Siena College660 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 23Rasmussen Reports750 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.9124 tracked-0.9aligned
Sep 21Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research810 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 17Impact Research800 · unknownD-LEAN+10.7d lean
Sep 17University of Nevada, Las Vegas Lee Business School641 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 8The New York Times/Siena College462 · unknownNEUTRAL
· 18 polls · 10 per page

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DEMJoe Biden0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REPDonald Trump0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25
Joe BidenP80000722 ↗
Receipts
$1.1B
Disburse
$1.1B
Cash on hand
$260.5K
Debts
$0
No industry data.
No contributor data.
Donald TrumpP80001571 ↗
Receipts
$744.4M
Disburse
$752.9M
Cash on hand
$10.7M
Debts
$2.7M
No industry data.
No contributor data.

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$8.1M
D side
$7.8M · 96%
R side
$353.6K · 4%
Top spender
PRIORITIES USA ACTION
For / against split
For Biden $6.0M
Against Trump $1.8M
Against Biden $22.7K
For Trump $330.9K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
PRIORITIES USA ACTIOND$2.8M35%for Joe Biden
UNITE HERE PACD$953.8K12%for Joe Biden
FOR OUR FUTURED$952.5K12%against Donald Trump
VOTE NURSES VALUES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE: CALIFORNIA NURSES ASSOCIATIOND$729.8K9%for Joe Biden
PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERALD$714.3K9%for Joe Biden
UNIDOSUS ACTION PACD$495.9K6%for Joe Biden
SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PACR$286.6K4%for Donald Trump
PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESD$250.0K3%against Donald Trump
MIJENTE PACD$74.2K1%against Donald Trump

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 13, 2026tossuppvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 18deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks