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Races · President · 2020 · Montana
President · open seat

Montana President

← Mississippi PresidentNorth Carolina President →
Likely R— polls· 13 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Likely R

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+11) suggests Likely R.

CITATIONS · likely-r

Polling average

404448525660TRUMP 50.8BIDEN 44.8SEP '20OCT '20OCT '20
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 13 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popLeanBias · trackvs ratersD · R
Oct 30Change Research920 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy—
Oct 25Public Policy Polling886 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.9104 tracked+2.4noisy—
Oct 25SurveyMonkey+11,021 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy—
Oct 20Montana State University Billings546 · unknownNEUTRAL———
Oct 18The New York Times/Siena College758 · unknownNEUTRAL———
Oct 16RMG Research800 · unknownD-LEAND +6.68 tracked+2.6d lean—
Oct 16Strategies 360500 · unknownNEUTRALD +2.53 tracked+2.8d lean—
Oct 8Public Policy Polling798 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.9104 tracked+2.4noisy—
Oct 5Emerson College500 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.7118 tracked+0.8aligned—
Oct 5SurveyMonkey+1986 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy—
Oct 1Data for Progress737 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.151 tracked+0.8aligned—
Sep 22Montana State University Bozeman Human Ecology Learning and Problem Solving Lab1,615 · unknownNEUTRAL———
Sep 14The New York Times/Siena College625 · unknownNEUTRAL———
· 13 polls · 10 per page

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DEMJoe Biden0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REPDonald Trump0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25
Joe BidenP80000722 ↗
Receipts
$1.1B
Disburse
$1.1B
Cash on hand
$260.5K
Debts
$0
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Donald TrumpP80001571 ↗
Receipts
$744.4M
Disburse
$752.9M
Cash on hand
$10.7M
Debts
$2.7M
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$8.1M
D side
$7.8M · 96%
R side
$353.6K · 4%
Top spender
PRIORITIES USA ACTION
For / against split
For Biden $6.0M
Against Trump $1.8M
Against Biden $22.7K
For Trump $330.9K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
PRIORITIES USA ACTIOND$2.8M35%for Joe Biden
UNITE HERE PACD$953.8K12%for Joe Biden
FOR OUR FUTURED$952.5K12%against Donald Trump
VOTE NURSES VALUES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE: CALIFORNIA NURSES ASSOCIATIOND$729.8K9%for Joe Biden
PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERALD$714.3K9%for Joe Biden
UNIDOSUS ACTION PACD$495.9K6%for Joe Biden
SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PACR$286.6K4%for Donald Trump
PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESD$250.0K3%against Donald Trump
MIJENTE PACD$74.2K1%against Donald Trump

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 13, 2026likely-rpvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 13deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks