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Races · President · 2020 · Minnesota
President · open seat

Minnesota President

Tossup polls· 27 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Tossup

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+1) suggests Tossup.

CITATIONS · tossup

Polling average

36404448525660BIDEN 51.5TRUMP 42.4SEP '20OCT '20OCT '20
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 27 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popLeanBias · trackvs ratersD · R
Oct 30Research Co.450 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.450 tracked-0.7aligned
Oct 28Public Policy Polling770 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.9104 tracked+2.4noisy
Oct 28Data for Progress1,259 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.151 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 26Targoz Market Research1,138 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.712 tracked+4.3noisy
Oct 26Swayable466 · unknownD-LEAND +7.817 tracked+2.5d lean
Oct 25Morning Consult883 · unknownD-LEAND +5.230 tracked+1.8aligned
Oct 25SurveyMonkey+23,031 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 24Gravis Marketing657 · unknownD-LEAND +2.933 tracked+0.1aligned
Oct 24SurveyUSA649 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.194 tracked-0.5aligned
Oct 23Trafalgar Group1,065 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 19St. Cloud State University372 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 18Civiqs840 · unknownD-LEAND +2.522 tracked+4.0d lean
Oct 17SurveyUSA625 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.194 tracked-0.5aligned
Oct 14Morning Consult864 · unknownD-LEAND +5.230 tracked+1.8aligned
Oct 13Change Research1,021 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Oct 11David Binder Research200 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 5SurveyMonkey+24,696 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 2SurveyUSA929 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.194 tracked-0.5aligned
Sep 21Suffolk University500 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.221 tracked+0.8aligned
Sep 21Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy800 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 13Redfield & Wilton Strategies718 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Sep 9YouGov1,087 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Sep 9ABC News/The Washington Post615 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 8The New York Times/Siena College814 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 7Morning Consult643 · unknownD-LEAND +5.230 tracked+1.8aligned
Sep 5SurveyUSA553 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.194 tracked-0.5aligned
Sep 2Public Policy Polling877 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.9104 tracked+2.4noisy
· 27 polls · 10 per page

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DEMJoe Biden0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REPDonald Trump0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25
Joe BidenP80000722 ↗
Receipts
$1.1B
Disburse
$1.1B
Cash on hand
$260.5K
Debts
$0
No industry data.
No contributor data.
Donald TrumpP80001571 ↗
Receipts
$744.4M
Disburse
$752.9M
Cash on hand
$10.7M
Debts
$2.7M
No industry data.
No contributor data.

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$8.1M
D side
$7.8M · 96%
R side
$353.6K · 4%
Top spender
PRIORITIES USA ACTION
For / against split
For Biden $6.0M
Against Trump $1.8M
Against Biden $22.7K
For Trump $330.9K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
PRIORITIES USA ACTIOND$2.8M35%for Joe Biden
UNITE HERE PACD$953.8K12%for Joe Biden
FOR OUR FUTURED$952.5K12%against Donald Trump
VOTE NURSES VALUES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE: CALIFORNIA NURSES ASSOCIATIOND$729.8K9%for Joe Biden
PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERALD$714.3K9%for Joe Biden
UNIDOSUS ACTION PACD$495.9K6%for Joe Biden
SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PACR$286.6K4%for Donald Trump
PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESD$250.0K3%against Donald Trump
MIJENTE PACD$74.2K1%against Donald Trump

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 13, 2026tossuppvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 27deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks