Races · President · 2020 · Michigan President · open seat
Michigan President Tossup — polls · 74 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Tossup
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+1) suggests Tossup .
CITATIONS · tossup
Joe Biden
On April 25, 2019, former vice president Joe Biden released a video announcing his candidacy in the 2020 Democratic Party presidential prima…
50%avg Donald Trump
Donald Trump ran a successful campaign for the 2016 U.S. presidential election. He formally announced his campaign on June 16, 2015, at Trum…
44%avg All polls · 74 results Date Pollster · trust signals n · pop Lean Bias · track vs raters D · R Oct 30 Research Co. 450 · unknown NEUTRAL D +1.4 50 tracked -0.7 aligned — Oct 30 Change Research +1 383 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.7 18 tracked +5.7 noisy — Oct 29 Emerson College 700 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.7 118 tracked +0.8 aligned — Oct 29 InsiderAdvantage 500 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.8 38 tracked -0.5 aligned — Oct 29 AtlasIntel 686 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.3 30 tracked -4.0 r lean — Oct 29 Trafalgar Group 1,033 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Oct 28 Public Policy Polling 745 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.9 104 tracked +2.4 noisy — Oct 28 Mitchell Research & Communications 817 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 28 Ipsos 654 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 28 Swayable 413 · unknown D-LEAN D +7.8 17 tracked +2.5 d lean — Oct 27 RMG Research 800 · unknown D-LEAN D +6.6 8 tracked +2.6 d lean — Oct 27 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 1,212 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Oct 26 Trafalgar Group 1,058 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Oct 26 SSRS 907 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 26 EPIC-MRA 600 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.8 9 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 26 Targoz Market Research 993 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.7 12 tracked +4.3 noisy — Oct 26 Wick 1,000 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 25 Mitchell Research & Communications 759 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 25 Morning Consult +1 1,736 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.2 30 tracked +1.8 aligned — Oct 25 SurveyMonkey +2 4,549 · unknown D-LEAN D +6.4 240 tracked +2.2 noisy — Oct 24 The New York Times/Siena College 856 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 24 Swayable +1 394 · unknown D-LEAN D +7.8 17 tracked +2.5 d lean — Oct 24 Kiaer Research 669 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 23 Gravis Marketing 679 · unknown D-LEAN D +2.9 33 tracked +0.1 aligned — Oct 23 Glengariff Group 600 · unknown D-LEAN D +4.6 5 tracked +1.5 aligned — Oct 22 Ipsos 652 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 21 ABC News/The Washington Post 789 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 20 Public Policy Polling 804 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.9 104 tracked +2.4 noisy — Oct 18 Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research 1,032 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 18 Citizen Data 1,000 · unknown NEUTRAL D +6.6 3 tracked — — Oct 17 Mitchell Research & Communications 900 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 17 Change Research 718 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.7 18 tracked +5.7 noisy — Oct 16 Ipsos 686 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 16 Data for Progress 830 · unknown NEUTRAL D +1.1 51 tracked +0.8 aligned — Oct 16 Trafalgar Group 1,034 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Oct 16 EPIC-MRA 600 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.8 9 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 16 YouGov 681 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.4 23 tracked +2.2 d lean — Oct 14 Morning Consult +1 1,717 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.2 30 tracked +1.8 aligned — Oct 14 Zia Poll 2,851 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 13 Harris Insights & Analytics 1,289 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 12 Trafalgar Group 1,025 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Oct 11 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 972 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Oct 9 Ipsos 620 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 9 EPIC-MRA 600 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.8 9 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 9 RMG Research 800 · unknown D-LEAN D +6.6 8 tracked +2.6 d lean — Oct 9 Civiqs 543 · unknown D-LEAN D +2.5 22 tracked +4.0 d lean — Oct 8 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 827 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Oct 7 YouGov 1,190 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.4 23 tracked +2.2 d lean — Oct 7 The New York Times/Siena College 614 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 5 Emerson College 716 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.7 118 tracked +0.8 aligned — Oct 5 SurveyMonkey +2 6,222 · unknown D-LEAN D +6.4 240 tracked +2.2 noisy — Oct 4 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 700 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Oct 4 National Research 800 · unknown R-LEAN — — — Oct 3 Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute 1,134 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Oct 2 Change Research 676 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.7 18 tracked +5.7 noisy — Oct 2 Ipsos 709 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Oct 1 Glengariff Group 600 · unknown D-LEAN D +4.6 5 tracked +1.5 aligned — Sep 29 Public Policy Polling 746 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.9 104 tracked +2.4 noisy — Sep 26 Trafalgar Group 1,042 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Sep 24 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 785 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Sep 20 Trafalgar Group 1,015 · unknown R-LEAN R +2.1 6 tracked -4.1 r lean — Sep 20 Marist College 799 · unknown D-LEAN D +2.0 25 tracked +1.7 aligned — Sep 19 Impact Research 800 · unknown D-LEAN — +10.7 d lean — Sep 18 Change Research 568 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.7 18 tracked +5.7 noisy — Sep 17 Garin Hart Yang Research Group * 400 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Sep 15 Marketing Resource Group (MRG) 600 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Sep 15 YouGov 641 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.4 23 tracked +2.2 d lean — Sep 15 Data for Progress 455 · unknown NEUTRAL D +1.1 51 tracked +0.8 aligned — Sep 14 Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute 1,001 · unknown NEUTRAL — — — Sep 12 Civiqs 517 · unknown D-LEAN D +2.5 22 tracked +4.0 d lean — Sep 12 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 930 · unknown D-LEAN D +5.3 5 tracked -0.1 aligned — Sep 12 Ipsos 637 · unknown NEUTRAL R +1.9 12 tracked +0.3 aligned — Sep 11 EPIC-MRA 600 · unknown NEUTRAL D +0.8 9 tracked +0.3 aligned — Sep 4 Change Research 876 · unknown D-LEAN D +3.7 18 tracked +5.7 noisy —
Endorsements · 0 total Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet DEM Joe Biden 0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REP Donald Trump 0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25 Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Outside spending · independent expenditures FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports Top spender
PRIORITIES USA ACTION
For / against split
For Biden $6.0M
Against Trump $1.8M
Against Biden $22.7K
For Trump $330.9K
Spender Side Amount Share Target PRIORITIES USA ACTION super pac · boosts D
Spent · $2.8M Direction · for Joe Biden Share of IE · 35% D $2.8M 35% for Joe Biden UNITE HERE PAC super pac · boosts D
Spent · $953.8K Direction · for Joe Biden Share of IE · 12% D $953.8K 12% for Joe Biden FOR OUR FUTURE super pac · boosts D
Spent · $952.5K Direction · against Donald Trump Share of IE · 12% D $952.5K 12% against Donald Trump VOTE NURSES VALUES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE: CALIFORNIA NURSES ASSOCIATION super pac · boosts D
Spent · $729.8K Direction · for Joe Biden Share of IE · 9% D $729.8K 9% for Joe Biden PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL super pac · boosts D
Spent · $714.3K Direction · for Joe Biden Share of IE · 9% D $714.3K 9% for Joe Biden UNIDOSUS ACTION PAC super pac · boosts D
Spent · $495.9K Direction · for Joe Biden Share of IE · 6% D $495.9K 6% for Joe Biden SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PAC super pac · boosts R
Spent · $286.6K Direction · for Donald Trump Share of IE · 4% R $286.6K 4% for Donald Trump PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES super pac · boosts D
Spent · $250.0K Direction · against Donald Trump Share of IE · 3% D $250.0K 3% against Donald Trump MIJENTE PAC super pac · boosts D
Spent · $74.2K Direction · against Donald Trump Share of IE · 1% D $74.2K 1% against Donald Trump
Demographic crosstabs age · education · race · gender No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 13, 2026 tossup pvi May 13, 2026 · change
Moved to tossup
Verification trail
Polls verified 0 / 74deterministic
Polls flagged —none
Markets ingested 0 platformsnone listed
FEC filings syncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsements —nothing to sync
News coverage < 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks