Races · President · 2020 · Indiana
President · open seat
Indiana President
Where this race stands
VerifiedLikely R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+9) suggests Likely R.
CITATIONS · likely-r
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 8 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Lean | Bias · track | vs raters | D · R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | Swayable+1 | 264 · unknown | D-LEAN | D +7.817 tracked | +2.5d lean | — |
| Oct 25 | Morning Consult | 1,147 · unknown | D-LEAN | D +5.230 tracked | +1.8aligned | — |
| Oct 25 | SurveyMonkey+2 | 2,729 · unknown | D-LEAN | D +6.4240 tracked | +2.2noisy | — |
| Oct 24 | Swayable+1 | 301 · unknown | D-LEAN | D +7.817 tracked | +2.5d lean | — |
| Oct 19 | Ragnar Research Partners | 629 · unknown | R-LEAN | — | -3.4decoupled | — |
| Oct 9 | SurveyUSA | 685 · unknown | NEUTRAL | D +0.194 tracked | -0.5aligned | — |
| Oct 5 | SurveyMonkey+2 | 4,001 · unknown | D-LEAN | D +6.4240 tracked | +2.2noisy | — |
| Sep 4 | Change Research | 1,033 · unknown | D-LEAN | D +3.718 tracked | +5.7noisy | — |
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetDEMJoe Biden0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REPDonald Trump0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25Donald TrumpP80001571 ↗
Receipts
$744.4M
Disburse
$752.9M
Cash on hand
$10.7M
Debts
$2.7M
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Joe Biden
Receipts
$1.1B
Disburse
$1.1B
Cash on hand
$260.5K
Debts
$0
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$2.1M
D side
$1.8M · 84%
R side
$330.9K · 16%
Top spender
FOR OUR FUTURE
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOR OUR FUTURE super pac · boosts D
| D | $952.5K | 45% | against Donald Trump |
| SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PAC super pac · boosts R
| R | $286.6K | 13% | for Donald Trump |
| PRIORITIES USA ACTION super pac · boosts D
| D | $263.4K | 12% | against Donald Trump |
| PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES super pac · boosts D
| D | $250.0K | 12% | against Donald Trump |
| MIJENTE PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $74.2K | 3% | against Donald Trump |
Demographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 8deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks