NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Races · President · 2020 · Florida
President · open seat

Florida President

Tilt R polls· 88 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Tilt R

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+3) suggests Tilt R.

CITATIONS · tilt-r

Polling average

364044485256BIDEN 48.7TRUMP 47.0SEP '20OCT '20NOV '20
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 88 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popLeanBias · trackvs ratersD · R
Nov 1The Political Matrix/The Listener Group966 · unknownR-LEAN
Oct 31InsiderAdvantage400 · unknownR-LEANR +2.838 tracked-0.5aligned
Oct 31Trafalgar Group1,054 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 30Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.400 · unknownR-LEAN
Oct 30AYTM517 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 30Change Research806 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Oct 29Rasmussen Reports800 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.9124 tracked-0.9aligned
Oct 29Frederick Polls768 · unknownD-LEAN
Oct 29Quinnipiac University+11,657 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.454 tracked+1.1aligned
Oct 29Swayable1,261 · unknownD-LEAND +7.817 tracked+2.5d lean
Oct 28The New York Times/Siena College1,451 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 28RMG Research1,200 · unknownD-LEAND +6.68 tracked+2.6d lean
Oct 28St. Pete Polls+12,758 · unknownD-LEAND +2.212 tracked0.0aligned
Oct 28Emerson College849 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.7118 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 28Ipsos670 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Oct 28Data for Progress1,202 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.151 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 27Harris Insights & Analytics1,148 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 27Public Policy Polling941 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.9104 tracked+2.4noisy
Oct 27AtlasIntel786 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.330 tracked-4.0r lean
Oct 26Trafalgar Group1,088 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 26Targoz Market Research1,027 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.712 tracked+4.3noisy
Oct 26Redfield & Wilton Strategies1,587 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Oct 26Wick1,000 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 26The Political Matrix/The Listener Group900 · unknownR-LEAN
Oct 25Marist College743 · unknownD-LEAND +2.025 tracked+1.7aligned
Oct 25Monmouth University Polling Institute509 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 25ABC News/The Washington Post824 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 25Morning Consult+14,451 · unknownD-LEAND +5.230 tracked+1.8aligned
Oct 25SurveyMonkey+28,792 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 24Quinnipiac University1,324 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.454 tracked+1.1aligned
Oct 24Swayable605 · unknownD-LEAND +7.817 tracked+2.5d lean
Oct 23Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative937 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 23Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.400 · unknownR-LEAN
Oct 23Ipsos704 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Oct 22The Political Matrix/The Listener Group895 · unknownR-LEAN
Oct 21YouGov1,228 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Oct 20St. Pete Polls+12,527 · unknownD-LEAND +2.212 tracked0.0aligned
Oct 20RMG Research800 · unknownD-LEAND +6.68 tracked+2.6d lean
Oct 20Univision/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research743 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 20YouGov1,200 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Oct 19Rasmussen Reports800 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.9124 tracked-0.9aligned
Oct 18Civiqs863 · unknownD-LEAND +2.522 tracked+4.0d lean
Oct 18Citizen Data1,000 · unknownNEUTRALD +6.63 tracked
Oct 18The Political Matrix/The Listener Group1,431 · unknownR-LEAN
Oct 17Change Research547 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Oct 16SSRS847 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 16Ipsos662 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Oct 14Morning Consult+14,685 · unknownD-LEAND +5.230 tracked+1.8aligned
Oct 13Harris Insights & Analytics965 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 13University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab863 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 12YouGov3,755 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Oct 11Trafalgar Group1,051 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 11Redfield & Wilton Strategies1,519 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Oct 10Emerson College690 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.7118 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 10St. Pete Polls+12,215 · unknownD-LEAND +2.212 tracked0.0aligned
Oct 10Ipsos653 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Oct 9Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy625 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 8Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative644 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 8Clearview Research550 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 8Redfield & Wilton Strategies981 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Oct 5InsiderAdvantage400 · unknownR-LEANR +2.838 tracked-0.5aligned
Oct 5RMG Research800 · unknownD-LEAND +6.68 tracked+2.6d lean
Oct 5SurveyMonkey+214,196 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 4Redfield & Wilton Strategies998 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Oct 2University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab3,142 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 2Suffolk University500 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.221 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 2Change Research560 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Oct 2Quinnipiac University1,256 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.454 tracked+1.1aligned
Oct 2Ipsos678 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Sep 29The New York Times/Siena College710 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 25Cherry Communications604 · unknownNEUTRALD +3.83 tracked+9.7decoupled
Sep 24Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.500 · unknownR-LEAN
Sep 23Redfield & Wilton Strategies1,073 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Sep 23OnMessage Inc.+1147 · unknownNEUTRALR +0.25 tracked-4.1r lean
Sep 20St. Pete Polls+12,906 · unknownD-LEAND +2.212 tracked0.0aligned
Sep 18Change Research702 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Sep 18Data for Progress620 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.151 tracked+0.8aligned
Sep 17Garin Hart Yang Research Group *400 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 16YouGov1,205 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Sep 16ABC News/The Washington Post613 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 12Redfield & Wilton Strategies1,158 · unknownD-LEAND +5.35 tracked-0.1aligned
Sep 12Ipsos586 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.912 tracked+0.3aligned
Sep 11Monmouth University Polling Institute428 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 10Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative631 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 6St. Pete Polls+12,689 · unknownD-LEAND +2.212 tracked0.0aligned
Sep 5KFF1,009 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 4Change Research1,144 · unknownD-LEAND +3.718 tracked+5.7noisy
Sep 2Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group1,600 · unknownNEUTRAL
· 88 polls · 10 per page

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DEMJoe Biden0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REPDonald Trump0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25
Joe BidenP80000722 ↗
Receipts
$1.1B
Disburse
$1.1B
Cash on hand
$260.5K
Debts
$0
No industry data.
No contributor data.
Donald TrumpP80001571 ↗
Receipts
$744.4M
Disburse
$752.9M
Cash on hand
$10.7M
Debts
$2.7M
No industry data.
No contributor data.

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$8.1M
D side
$7.8M · 96%
R side
$353.6K · 4%
Top spender
PRIORITIES USA ACTION
For / against split
For Biden $6.0M
Against Trump $1.8M
Against Biden $22.7K
For Trump $330.9K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
PRIORITIES USA ACTIOND$2.8M35%for Joe Biden
UNITE HERE PACD$953.8K12%for Joe Biden
FOR OUR FUTURED$952.5K12%against Donald Trump
VOTE NURSES VALUES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE: CALIFORNIA NURSES ASSOCIATIOND$729.8K9%for Joe Biden
PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERALD$714.3K9%for Joe Biden
UNIDOSUS ACTION PACD$495.9K6%for Joe Biden
SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PACR$286.6K4%for Donald Trump
PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESD$250.0K3%against Donald Trump
MIJENTE PACD$74.2K1%against Donald Trump

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 13, 2026tilt-rpvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 88deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks