NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new ↗·Methodology·Send feedback
Races · house · 2026 · Louisiana · general · Republican primary
</> Embed
PhasesShowing the Republican primary. Other views:general election
Republican primary · May 16, 2026

Louisiana house Republican primary

Field of 4 Republican candidates competing for the party's nomination. Winner advances to the general election on November 3, 2026.

← Louisiana houseLouisiana house →
Primary passed· 1 polls
Blake Miguez 98% to win the Republican nominationupdated 11h ago · primary-struct-v1
Blake Miguez · 98%Michael Echols · 1%Rick Edmonds · 0%Misti Cordell · 0%
Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

How confident are we?0 = certain · 100 = max uncertain
Combined
91
High uncertainty
Main driver: wide vote-share CI (24.3pp).
Forecast CI width81
24.3pp 80% interval
Polling sparsity100
0 polls in 60d · target ≥ 8

Forecast · Republican primary

primary-struct-v1 · medium confidence · 1 poll + fundamentals
1Blake MiguezBlake John Miguez is an American politician who is a member of the Louisiana Senate. A Republican, he previously was in the Louisiana House …39.9% 28–5298% win
2Michael EcholsMichael Charles Echols is an American politician from the state of Louisiana. A Republican, he represents the 14th district in the Louisiana…9.4% 0–221% win
3Rick EdmondsRichard Phillip Edmonds Jr., is an American pastor and politician from the U.S. state of Louisiana. A Republican, he is a member of the Loui…4.9% 0–17<1% win
4Misti CordellThe 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 6 U.S. representatives…1.8% 0–14<1% win

All polls · 1 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popCordellEcholsEdmondsMiguezLead
Apr 6Bedrock Polling889 · LV3201023+3

Endorsements · Republican primary · 4 total

Source · Wikipedia · 3 candidates with no endorsements yet
4
Blake Miguez · 4
RBlake Miguez4 endorsers
Most notable · Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
Elected officials3
Federal 3State 0Local 0
Organizations1
RMisti Cordell0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RMichael Echols0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RRick Edmonds0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-07-03
Blake MiguezS6LA00540 ↗
Raised
$6.18M
Cash on hand
$3.99M
Top industries
No industry data.
Rick EdmondsH6LA05226 ↗
No FEC committee filing yet.
Top industries
No industry data.
Michael Charles EcholsH6LA05242 ↗
No FEC committee filing yet.
Top industries
No industry data.
Misti CordellH6LA05200 ↗
No FEC committee filing yet.
Top industries
No industry data.
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 1deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested1 platformupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-07-03
Endorsements4 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks