NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Races · house · 2026 · Illinois · general · Democratic primary
</> Embed
PhasesShowing the Democratic primary. Other views:general election
Democratic primary · March 17, 2026

Illinois house Democratic primary

Melissa Bean won the Democratic primary on March 17, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.

Primary passed· 2 polls
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 22d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Democratic primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

Primary result · Democratic primary

Official outcome · March 17, 2026 · forecast shown for reference
1Melissa BeanMelissa Bean is an American politician who served as the U.S. representative for Illinois's 8th congressional district from 2005 to 2011. Be…20.5%✓ Won
2Junaid Ahmed18.4%
3Neil Khot12.8%
4Kevin Morrison7.0%

All polls · 2 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popBeanLead
Mar 14, 26Global Eye Magazine677 · unknown28
Aug 20, 25Normington Petts400 · RV10

Endorsements · Democratic primary · 20 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
20
Melissa Bean · 20
DMelissa Bean20 endorsers
Most notable · Nancy Pelosi · former Speaker of the House (2007–2011, 2019–2023) from CA-11 (1987–present)
Elected officials10
Federal 10State 0Local 0
Organizations8
Newspapers2

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-06-09
Melissa BeanH6IL08329 ↗
Raised
$1.76M
Cash on hand
$48K
No industry data.
Junaid AhmedH2IL08146 ↗
Raised
$1.60M
Cash on hand
$154K
No industry data.
Dan TullyH6IL08287 ↗
No FEC committee filing yet.
No industry data.

In the news

6 shown · last 30d · Google News
News volume · 30d
6 articles · building history
Net favorability
+0.67
Coverage lean (D−R) · first week of data
Coverage tilt
D 67%
Neutral 33%
67% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 2deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested1 platformupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-06-09
Endorsements69 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage6 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks