NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Races · house · 2026 · Illinois · general · Democratic primary
</> Embed
PhasesShowing the Democratic primary. Other views:general election·Republican primary
Democratic primary · March 17, 2026

Illinois house Democratic primary

Sean Casten won the Democratic primary on March 17, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.

Primary passed· 0 polls
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 22d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Democratic primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

All polls · 0 results

Democratic primary polls

No polls have been published for this primary yet. When pollsters start covering the race, individual polls will be listed here with sample size, lean, and trust signals.

Endorsements · Democratic primary · 18 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
18
Sean Casten · 18
DSean Casten18 endorsers
Most notable · Chicago Tribune · (Democratic primary only)
Organizations16
Newspapers2

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-02-20
Sean CastenH8IL06139 ↗
Raised
$1.79M
Cash on hand
$1.18M
No industry data.

In the news

17 shown · last 30d · Google News
News volume · 30d
17 articles · building history
Net favorability
+0.29
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift −0.29 wk
Coverage tilt
D 29%
Neutral 71%
29% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
W
wspynews.com · 2d ago
Benton steps down from Illinois House seat
Neutral
S
shawlocal.com · 4d ago
Plainfield Democrat Benton resigns Illinois House seat after ethics investigation
Neutral
S
shawlocal.com · 8d ago
Rich Miller: Illinois AFL-CIO unlikely to withhold endorsements
Neutral
A
abc7chicago.com · 8d ago
Supreme Court mail - in ballots ruling : Illinoisans praise decision affirming election administration largely under state control
Neutral
C
chicago.suntimes.com · 11d ago
Illinois AFL - CIO unlikely to withhold endorsements
Neutral
W
wpsdlocal6.com · 12d ago
Natalie Phelps Finnie to fill Illinois House seat vacated by Brandon Phelps
Neutral
B
bloomberg.com · 13d ago
Watch Rep. Casten: Encouraged by Johnson Move on Housing Bill
Neutral
N
nytimes.com · 13d ago
Illinois Second Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
D-favorable
A
apnews.com · 15d ago
Illinois Primary Results 2026: Senate, House and Governor
Neutral
A
apnews.com · 15d ago
Illinois U.S. House Primary Election Live Results 2026
Neutral
Page 1 of 2
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested1 platformupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-02-20
Endorsements26 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage17 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks