Races · house · 2026 · DE
house · open seat
Delaware house
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely D · model 89% D
likely-d
Forecast · poliagg-v8
Predicted final margin
D +17.1
80% CI: R +0.5 → D +34.6 · win prob 89%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | 181 |
| Residual σ | 13.66pt |
| Generated | 5/6/2026 |
▼ Compare with other models1 models
poliagg-v8Ensemble (production)
D +17.1
80% CI R +0.5 → D +34.6
CV MAE 13.66
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/4/2026 Likely D via pvi
In the news
-
Meet Karl - Anthony Town biggest fan the mother of a Marine killed in Afghanistannytimes.com · 1d ago -
-
-
California to provide free diapers to newborns at more than 60 hospitalsksby.com · 1d ago - Mothers Convicted of Serious Crimestheroot.com · 1d ago
-
Sherman looks to give coast a voice in Salemtillamookheadlightherald.com · 1d ago -
-
Alabama GOP Senate candidate calls for all - Republican congressional maputv44.com · 2d ago -
-
Why the UAE Left OPEC | OilPrice . comoilprice.com · 2d ago
News links surfaced via GDELT (a multi-source global news index). External links open in a new tab; we don't rehost article content.