Races · house · 2024 · WI
house · open seat
Elsa Duranceau vs Tom Tiffany
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely R
likely-r
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-12-10Total IE spending
$29K
For candidates
$29K
Against candidates
$0
Latest filing: 12/10/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Tom Tiffany (R)
$15K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$176K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.2M
Total spent
$1.4M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $8K for NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND Super PAC
- $4K for NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND PAC
- $1K for CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC PAC
- $704 for HOUSE FREEDOM FUND PAC
Kyle Kilbourn (D)
$14K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$15K
Total raised (cycle)
$233K
Total spent
$218K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $14K for TAKEACTION MN FEDERAL FUND Super PAC
Elsa Duranceau (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$173
Total raised (cycle)
$10K
Total spent
$9K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Likely R via pvi