Races · house · 2024 · PA
house · open seat
Preston Nouri vs Mike Kelly
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely R
likely-r
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-12-19Total IE spending
$8K
For candidates
$7K
Against candidates
$210
Latest filing: 12/19/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Mike Kelly (R)
$6K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$1.0M
Total raised (cycle)
$1.7M
Total spent
$1.5M
Debts
$95K
Source: FEC
- $6K for NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND PAC
- $206 for PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC PAC
Preston Nouri (D)
$1K for ·
$210 against
Cash on hand
$13K
Total raised (cycle)
$785K
Total spent
$772K
Debts
$72K
Source: FEC
- $1K for VOTE FOR EQUALITY Super PAC
- $210 against PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC PAC
- $163 for PEOPLE POWER PENNSYLVANIA Super PAC
Tim Kramer (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$88
Total raised (cycle)
$14K
Total spent
$14K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Likely R via pvi