Races · house · 2024 · PA
house · open seat

Mike O'Brien vs Scott Perry

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Tilt R — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Tilt R

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Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-12-23
Total IE spending
$30.4M
For candidates
$2.1M
Against candidates
$28.3M
Latest filing: 12/23/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Scott Perry (R)
$1.3M for · $21.8M against
Cash on hand
$82K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.5M
Total spent
$4.6M
Debts
$18K
Source: FEC
Janelle Stelson (D)
$768K for · $6.5M against
Cash on hand
$15K
Total raised (cycle)
$6.5M
Total spent
$6.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Shamaine Daniels (D)
$702 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$943
Total raised (cycle)
$81K
Total spent
$82K
Debts
$92K
Source: FEC
Mike O'Brien (?)
$0 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$3K
Total raised (cycle)
$795K
Total spent
$792K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Rick Coplen (?)
$0 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$0
Total raised (cycle)
$122K
Total spent
$122K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Blake Lynch (?)
$0 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$4K
Total raised (cycle)
$86K
Total spent
$83K
Debts
$24K
Source: FEC
John Broadhurst (?)
$0 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$67
Total raised (cycle)
$22K
Total spent
$22K
Debts
$9K
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/6/2026 Tilt R via pvi