Races · house · 2024 · PA
house · open seat
Ashley Ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-12-30Total IE spending
$2.0M
For candidates
$1.4M
Against candidates
$636K
Latest filing: 12/30/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
$1.3M for ·
$100K against
Cash on hand
$4.4M
Total raised (cycle)
$6.4M
Total spent
$3.5M
Debts
$25K
Source: FEC
- $400K for AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC OF CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC. PAC
- $239K for CENTER FORWARD INITIATIVE INC Super PAC
- $137K for EDF ACTION VOTES Super PAC
- $135K for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $127K for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE PAC
Mark Houck (R)
$0 for ·
$536K against
Cash on hand
$-1299
Total raised (cycle)
$173K
Total spent
$174K
Debts
$1K
Source: FEC
- $536K against DEFENDING AMERICA PAC, INC. Super PAC
Ashley Ehasz (D)
$104K for ·
$9 against
Cash on hand
$5K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.0M
Total spent
$4.0M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $55K for MAKE THE ROAD ACTION INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE Super PAC
- $18K for API PA VOTES Super PAC
- $17K for REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL FREEDOM FUND Super PAC
- $9K for INDIVISIBLE PROJECT INC. PAC
- $6K for PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi