Races · house · 2024 · New York
house · open seat
Josh Riley vs Marc Molinaro
Where this race stands
VerifiedTossup
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+1) suggests Tossup.
CITATIONS · tossup
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetRMarc Molinaro0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
DJosh Riley0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-12-06Marc MolinaroH2NY19127 ↗
No FEC committee filing yet.
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Josh RileyH8NY22177 ↗
Receipts
$9.8M
Disburse
$9.8M
Cash on hand
$68.3K
Debts
$4.0K
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$117.1K
Lawyers / law firms · $117.1K
- Boies Schiller Flexner LLP · $64.9K
- Jenner & Block LLP · $26.2K
- King & Spalding, LLP · $26.0K
- Paul Weiss · $23.3K
Individuals $117.1K · PACs $0
Education$54.7K
Education · $54.7K
- Cornell University · $54.7K
Individuals $54.7K · PACs $0
Computers / electronics$15.4K
Computers / electronics · $15.4K
- Apple · $15.4K
Individuals $15.4K · PACs $0
Top contributors
BOIES SCHILLER FLEXNER LLP$64.9K
CORNELL UNIVERSITY$54.7K
JENNER & BLOCK LLP$26.2K
KING & SPALDING, LLP$26.0K
PAUL WEISS$23.3K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$46.2M
D side
$38.2M · 83%
R side
$8.0M · 17%
Top spender
HMP
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMP super pac · boosts D
| D | $27.4M | 59% | against Marc Molinaro |
| BATTLEGROUND NEW YORK super pac · boosts D
| D | $4.7M | 10% | for Josh Riley |
| DCCC party · boosts D
| D | $3.9M | 9% | against Marc Molinaro |
| NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $2.3M | 5% | for Marc Molinaro |
| NRCC party · boosts R
| R | $1.4M | 3% | against Josh Riley |
| AMERICA PAC super pac · boosts R
| R | $1.1M | 2% | for Marc Molinaro |
| CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $1.0M | 2% | against Josh Riley |
| PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES super pac · boosts D
| D | $750.0K | 2% | against Marc Molinaro |
| THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $383.1K | 1% | against Josh Riley |
Editorial ratings · 5 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Lean D2
Lean D · 2 raters
- Elections Daily · Nov 3
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Nov 3
Tilt D2
Tilt D · 2 raters
- CNalysis · Nov 3
- Inside Elections · Oct 30
Tossup1
Tossup · 1 rater
- The Cook Political Report · Nov 30
CNalysis
Tilt DThe Cook Political Report
TossupElections Daily
Lean DInside Elections
Tilt DSabato's Crystal Ball
Lean DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-12-06
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks