Races · house · 2024 · New York
house · open seat
Pat Ryan vs Alison Esposito
Where this race stands
VerifiedTilt D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+2) suggests Tilt D.
CITATIONS · tilt-d
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetDPat Ryan0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RAlison Esposito0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-20Alison EspositoH4NY18117 ↗
Receipts
$2.4M
Disburse
$2.4M
Cash on hand
$13.9K
Debts
$0
Top industries
TV / movies / music$22.7K
TV / movies / music · $22.7K
- Nycbs · $22.7K
Individuals $22.7K · PACs $0
Top contributors
INFORMATION REQUESTED PER BEST EFFORTS$69.2K
NYCBS$22.7K
KOFINAS FERTILITY GROUP$13.2K
ELLIOTT MANAGEMENT$8.0K
OTTERKILL COUNTRY CLUB$7.1K
Pat RyanH8NY19223 ↗
Receipts
$8.1M
Disburse
$8.0M
Cash on hand
$167.2K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$22.6K
Lawyers / law firms · $22.6K
- White & Case LLP · $22.6K
Individuals $22.6K · PACs $0
Securities & investment$13.2K
Securities & investment · $13.2K
- Millennium Management · $13.2K
Individuals $13.2K · PACs $0
Top contributors
PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES$29.3K
WHITE & CASE LLP$22.6K
PALANTIR$19.8K
TRANSDIGM GROUP$16.5K
ANDURIL INDUSTRIES$16.5K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$15.5M
D side
$11.3M · 73%
R side
$4.2M · 27%
Top spender
HMP
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMP super pac · boosts D
| D | $4.8M | 31% | against Alison Esposito |
| VOTEVETS super pac · boosts D
| D | $3.5M | 22% | against Alison Esposito |
| CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $2.3M | 15% | for Alison Esposito |
| WFW ACTION FUND, INC. super pac · boosts R
| R | $1.4M | 9% | for Alison Esposito |
| EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWN VICTORY FUND) super pac · boosts D
| D | $1.0M | 6% | against Alison Esposito |
| NY COMMON GROUND super pac · boosts D
| D | $682.0K | 4% | for Pat Ryan |
| BATTLEGROUND NEW YORK super pac · boosts D
| D | $300.8K | 2% | for Pat Ryan |
| NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE pac · boosts D
| D | $220.9K | 1% | for Pat Ryan |
Editorial ratings · 5 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Likely D4
Likely D · 4 raters
- CNalysis · Nov 15
- Elections Daily · Feb 28
- Inside Elections · Sep 25
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Nov 3
Lean D1
Lean D · 1 rater
- The Cook Political Report · Nov 30
CNalysis
Likely DThe Cook Political Report
Lean DElections Daily
Likely DInside Elections
Likely DSabato's Crystal Ball
Likely DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-11-20
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks