Races · house · 2024 · NY
house · open seat
New York house
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Safe D
safe-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-07-03Total IE spending
$10
For candidates
$10
Against candidates
$0
Latest filing: 7/3/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Jerry Nadler (D)
$10 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$195K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.2M
Total spent
$1.0M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $10 for SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Safe D via pvi