Races · house · 2024 · NY
house · open seat
John Avlon vs Nick LaLota
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Lean R
lean-r
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-04Total IE spending
$9.0M
For candidates
$6.0M
Against candidates
$3.1M
Latest filing: 11/4/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
John Avlon (D)
$5.4M for ·
$200K against
Cash on hand
$304
Total raised (cycle)
$5.3M
Total spent
$5.3M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $5.2M for WELCOMEPAC Super PAC
- $200K against 314 ACTION FUND Super PAC
- $136K for NY COMMON GROUND Super PAC
- $44K for COMMON SENSE NEW YORK Super PAC
- $15K for LABORERS BUILDING A BETTER NEW YORK PAC
Nick LaLota (R)
$333K for ·
$2.9M against
Cash on hand
$676K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.3M
Total spent
$3.7M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $2.5M against WELCOMEPAC Super PAC
- $303K against EDF ACTION VOTES Super PAC
- $256K for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE PAC
- $75K for ELECT PRINCIPLED VETERANS FUND (EPV FUND) Super PAC
- $2K for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
Nancy Goroff (D)
$185K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$1K
Total raised (cycle)
$2.4M
Total spent
$2.4M
Debts
$1.2M
Source: FEC
- $185K for 314 ACTION FUND Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Lean R via pvi