Races · house · 2024 · NJ
house · open seat
New Jersey house
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Safe D
safe-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-09-04Total IE spending
$3.7M
For candidates
$1.8M
Against candidates
$1.9M
Latest filing: 9/4/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Rob Menendez (D)
$1.8M for ·
$923K against
Cash on hand
$277K
Total raised (cycle)
$2.4M
Total spent
$2.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $972K for CHC BOLD PAC PAC
- $771K against AMERICA'S PROMISE Super PAC
- $430K for PROTECT PROGRESS Super PAC
- $188K for BOLD AMERICA Super PAC
- $125K for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE PAC
Ravinder Bhalla (D)
$0 for ·
$1.0M against
Cash on hand
$0
Total raised (cycle)
$2.2M
Total spent
$2.2M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $1.0M against BOLD AMERICA Super PAC
- $16K against THE TURNOUT PROJECT Super PAC
Kyle Jasey (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$9K
Total raised (cycle)
$51K
Total spent
$42K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Safe D via pvi