Races · house · 2024 · NJ

house · open seat

Sue Altman vs Thomas Kean Jr.

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Tossup — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago

Caution · early warning

Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands

Verified

Tossup

tossup

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-12-19

Total IE spending

$21.5M

For candidates

$6.3M

Against candidates

$15.2M

Latest filing: 12/19/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E

Sue Altman (D)

$5.4M for · $9.2M against

Cash on hand

$11K

Total raised (cycle)

$6.3M

Total spent

$6.2M

Debts

Source: FEC

$8.0M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
$2.4M for HMP Super PAC
$1.7M for WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC Super PAC
$600K for LCV VICTORY FUND Super PAC
$594K against AMERICA PAC Super PAC

Thomas Kean Jr. (R)

$924K for · $6.0M against

Cash on hand

$48K

Total raised (cycle)

$6.0M

Total spent

$6.1M

Debts

$7K

Source: FEC

$5.9M against HMP Super PAC
$451K for AMERICA PAC Super PAC
$292K for JERSEY REAL Super PAC
$110K against NRDC ACTION VOTES Super PAC
$104K for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE PAC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago

Rating history (1 change)

5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi