Races · house · 2024 · NJ
house · open seat
Josh Gottheimer vs Mary Jo-Ann Guinchard
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tilt D
tilt-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-10-09Total IE spending
$489K
For candidates
$489K
Against candidates
$0
Latest filing: 10/9/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Josh Gottheimer (D)
$486K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$20.7M
Total raised (cycle)
$10.2M
Total spent
$2.9M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $245K for FAIRSHAKE Super PAC
- $240K for PROTECT PROGRESS Super PAC
- $10 for SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION Super PAC
$3K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$2K
Total raised (cycle)
$330K
Total spent
$328K
Debts
$241K
Source: FEC
- $3K for NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC PAC
George Song (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$460
Total raised (cycle)
$13K
Total spent
$13K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tilt D via pvi