Races · house · 2024 · NE
house · open seat
Tony Vargas vs Don Bacon
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tilt D
tilt-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-15Total IE spending
$63.5M
For candidates
$11.5M
Against candidates
$51.9M
Latest filing: 11/15/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Don Bacon (R)
$9.9M for ·
$29.7M against
Cash on hand
$198K
Total raised (cycle)
$6.4M
Total spent
$6.2M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $20.3M against HMP Super PAC
- $7.0M against DCCC Party
- $6.9M for BIG RED LEADERSHIP PAC Super PAC
- $1.8M against YOUR COMMUNITY PAC Super PAC
- $1.6M for AMERICA PAC Super PAC
Tony Vargas (D)
$1.6M for ·
$22.2M against
Cash on hand
$81K
Total raised (cycle)
$7.5M
Total spent
$7.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $11.0M against BIG RED LEADERSHIP PAC Super PAC
- $6.4M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $3.7M against NRCC Party
- $886K against AMERICA PAC Super PAC
- $820K for HMP Super PAC
Dan Frei (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$1K
Total raised (cycle)
$140K
Total spent
$139K
Debts
$8K
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tilt D via pvi