Races · house · 2024 · MO
house · open seat

Emanuel Cleaver vs Sean Smith

← MO house MO house →
Likely D — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Likely D

likely-d

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-01-02
Total IE spending
$10
For candidates
$10
Against candidates
$0
Latest filing: 1/2/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
$10 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$890K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.4M
Total spent
$1.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Sean Smith (?)
$0 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$2K
Total raised (cycle)
$168K
Total spent
$166K
Debts
$11K
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/6/2026 Likely D via pvi