Races · house · 2024 · MI
house · open seat
Curtis Hertel Jr. vs Tom Barrett
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-12-02Total IE spending
$64.7M
For candidates
$4.6M
Against candidates
$60.1M
Latest filing: 12/2/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Tom Barrett (R)
$3.7M for ·
$46.2M against
Cash on hand
$22K
Total raised (cycle)
$5.1M
Total spent
$5.1M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $37.5M against HMP Super PAC
- $7.6M against GIFFORDS PAC Super PAC
- $1.8M for AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION Super PAC
- $866K for AMERICA PAC Super PAC
- $583K against SAVE WESTERN CULTURE Super PAC
$834K for ·
$13.9M against
Cash on hand
$4K
Total raised (cycle)
$7.7M
Total spent
$7.7M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $10.7M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $2.8M against NRCC Party
- $422K for LCV VICTORY FUND Super PAC
- $421K against AMERICA PAC Super PAC
- $146K for CLEAN WAVE Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi