Races · house · 2024 · Maryland
house · open seat
April McClain Delaney vs Neil Parrott
Where this race stands
VerifiedTilt D · model 92% D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+3) suggests Tilt D.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+8.6 with an 80% CI ranging from R+3.4 (10th pctile) to D+20.6 (90th pctile), giving D a 92% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · tilt-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +8.6
80% CI: R +3.4 → D +20.6 · win prob 92%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | D+6.3 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 68 total
Source · Wikipedia · 1 candidate with no endorsements yet59
9
Endorsements tracked
April McClain Delaney59 · 87%
Neil Parrott9 · 13%
Total68
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
DApril McClain Delaney59 endorsers
Most notable · Nancy King · Majority Leader of the Maryland Senate (2020–present) from the 39th district (2007–present)
Other34
Other · 34
- Andrea Salinas · OR-06 (2023–present)
- Chris Pappas · NH-01 (2019–present)
- Dutch Ruppersberger · MD-02 (2003–present)
- Eric Sorensen · IL-17 (2023–present)
- Jamie Raskin · MD-08 (2017–present)
- Linda Sánchez · CA-38 (2003–present)
- Lois Frankel · FL-22 (2013–present)
- Mark Takano · CA-39 (2013–present)
- Ritchie Torres · NY-15 (2021–present)
- Robert Garcia · CA-42 (2023–present)
- Steny Hoyer · MD-05 (1981–present)
- Teresa Leger Fernandez · NM-03 (2021–present)
- Zoe Lofgren · CA-18 (1995–present)
- Ana Sol Gutierrez · 18th district (2003–2019)
- Becca Balint · VT-AL (2023–present)
- Chao Wu · district 9A (2023–present)
- College Democrats of America
- Cory Booker · New Jersey (2013–present)
- Frederick County · mer Frederick County Executive (2014–2022)
- Harvard · College Democrats
- Human Rights Campaign
- J Street
- John Fetterman · Pennsylvania (2023–present)
- LGBTQ+ Victory Fund
- Latino Victory Fund
- Lily Qi · state delegate from the 15th district (2019–present)
- Max Rose · NY-11 (2019–2021)
- Sierra Club · National and Maryland chapters
- UNITE HERE · Local 7
- Vote Common Good
- Vote Mama
- Voters of Tomorrow
- Washington Jewish Week
- With Honor Fund
Organizations14
Organizations · 14
- Kathleen Matthews · former chair of the Maryland Democratic Party (2017–2018)
- Amalgamated Transit Union · Locals 689 and 1777
- Association of Flight Attendants
- CHC BOLD PAC
- Equality PAC
- Forward Party · ard Party
- International Association of Heat and Frost Insulators and Allied Workers · Local 2
- Laborers' International Union of North America · Philadelphia/Baltimore/Washington and West Virginia/Appalachian District Councils
- Maryland Democratic Party · ir of the Maryland Democratic Party (2004–2007)
- National Education Association
- National Organization for Women · PAC
- Service Employees International Union · Local 500
- Teamsters · Local 992
- United Auto Workers
Elected officials10
Federal 2State 6Local 1
Elected officials · 10
- Nancy King · Majority Leader of the Maryland Senate (2020–present) from the 39th district (2007–present)
- Karen Lewis Young · state senator from the 3rd district (2023–present)
- Ronald Young · state senator from the 3rd district (2011–2023)
- Annise Parker · former mayor of Houston, Texas (2010–2016) and president of LGBTQ+ Victory Fund
- Gloria Lawlah · former Maryland Secretary of Aging (2007–2015) and state senator for the 26th district (1991–2007)
- Dawn Gile · state senator for the 33rd district (2023–present)
- Joel Martin Rubin · former vice mayor of Chevy Chase (2017–2023)
- Nancy Pelosi · Speaker Emerita (2007–2011, 2019–2023) from CA-11 (1987–present)
- Pamela Beidle · state senator for the 23nd district (2019–present)
- Sarah Elfreth · state senator for the 30th district (2019–present)
Newspapers1
Newspapers · 1
- The Washington Post · (Democratic primary only)
RNeil Parrott9 endorsers
Most notable · Newt Gingrich · former Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives (1995–1999) from GA-06 (1979–1999)
Organizations3
Organizations · 3
- Bob Good · chair of the Freedom Caucus (2024) from VA-05 (2021–present)
- Conservative Political Action Committee
- Family Research Council Action PAC
Other3
Other · 3
- House Freedom Fund
- Jody Hice · GA-10 (2015–2023)
- With Honor Fund
Elected officials2
Federal 1State 1Local 0
Elected officials · 2
- Newt Gingrich · former Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives (1995–1999) from GA-06 (1979–1999)
- Johnny Ray Salling · state senator from the 6th district (2015–present)
Newspapers1
Newspapers · 1
- The Washington Post · ( Republican primary only )
I8620 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-13Neil ParrottH0MD06231 ↗
Receipts
$1.1M
Disburse
$1.1M
Cash on hand
$4.6K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Electric utilities$13.2K
Electric utilities · $13.2K
- N. Berkley CO. Utilities · $13.2K
Individuals $13.2K · PACs $0
Govt employees$9.8K
Govt employees · $9.8K
- State of Maryland · $9.8K
Individuals $9.8K · PACs $0
Oil & gas$6.6K
Oil & gas · $6.6K
- Ewing Oil · $6.6K
Individuals $6.6K · PACs $0
Real estate$6.6K
Real estate · $6.6K
- Meritt Properties · $6.6K
Individuals $6.6K · PACs $0
Top contributors
SWORD'S MASONRY INC.$16.1K
HAGERSTOWN FIRST CHURCH OF GOD$16.1K
N. BERKLEY CO. UTILITIES$13.2K
VALLEY STORAGE$12.9K
POTOMAC EXCAVATING$9.9K
April McClain DelaneyH4MD06340 ↗
Receipts
$5.9M
Disburse
$5.9M
Cash on hand
$12.9K
Debts
$3.9M
Top industries
Education$19.2K
Education · $19.2K
- Georgetown University · $10.1K
- American University · $9.1K
Individuals $19.2K · PACs $0
Real estate$9.9K
Real estate · $9.9K
- Newpoint Real Estate Capital · $9.9K
Individuals $9.9K · PACs $0
Securities & investment$7.6K
Securities & investment · $7.6K
- The Carlyle Group · $7.6K
Individuals $7.6K · PACs $0
TV / movies / music$7.0K
TV / movies / music · $7.0K
- Arentfox Schiff · $7.0K
Individuals $7.0K · PACs $0
Top contributors
FORBRIGHT BANK$17.7K
MONUMENTAL SPORTS & ENTERTAINMENT$13.2K
GOLDENTREE ASSET MANAGEMENT$13.2K
GALLATIN POINT CAPITAL$13.2K
GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY$10.1K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$1.3M
D side
$500.7K · 40%
R side
$750.4K · 60%
Top spender
HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION super pac · boosts R
| R | $339.2K | 27% | for Neil Parrott |
| DCCC party · boosts D
| D | $250.0K | 20% | against Neil Parrott |
| COMMON SENSE COMMON GROUND PAC super pac · boosts R
| R | $196.8K | 16% | against April McClain Delaney |
| UNITY FIRST PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $150.0K | 12% | against Neil Parrott |
| COMMON SENSE MARYLAND super pac · boosts R
| R | $85.6K | 7% | against April McClain Delaney |
| NO VOTE LEFT BEHIND PAC pac · boosts R
| R | $64.4K | 5% | against April McClain Delaney |
| CHESAPEAKE CLIMATE ACTION NETWORK ACTION FUND pac · boosts D
| D | $56.9K | 5% | for April McClain Delaney |
| PATRIOTS FOR A BRIGHTER AMERICA super pac · boosts R
| R | $35.2K | 3% | for Neil Parrott |
| CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC pac · boosts R
| R | $8.5K | 1% | for Neil Parrott |
Editorial ratings · 5 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe D1
Safe D · 1 rater
- Elections Daily · Oct 4
Likely D1
Likely D · 1 rater
- CNalysis · Nov 15
Lean D3
Lean D · 3 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Oct 31
- Inside Elections · Oct 30
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Nov 3
CNalysis
Likely DThe Cook Political Report
Lean DElections Daily
Safe DInside Elections
Lean DSabato's Crystal Ball
Lean DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-11-13
Endorsements68 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks