Races · house · 2024 · Georgia
house · open seat
Bob Christian vs Rich McCormick
Where this race stands
VerifiedLikely R · model 50% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+11) suggests Likely R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts tied with an 80% CI ranging from R+12.1 (10th pctile) to D+11.9 (90th pctile), giving R a 50% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · likely-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +0.1
80% CI: R +12.1 → D +11.9 · win prob 50%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | R+29.8 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetRRich McCormick0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
DBob Christian0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-09-05Rich McCormickH0GA07273 ↗
Receipts
$2.3M
Disburse
$1.7M
Cash on hand
$697.8K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Real estate$8.1K
Real estate · $8.1K
- Real Estate · $8.1K
Individuals $8.1K · PACs $0
Top contributors
INFO REQUESTED$18.6K
CEO$15.7K
EXECUTIVE$12.9K
SANKRANTI / VENSAI TECHNOLOGIES$12.5K
INSIGHT SOURCING GROUP$9.9K
Bob ChristianH2GA06222 ↗
Receipts
$37.4K
Disburse
$0
Cash on hand
$26.4K
Debts
$245.2K
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$6.0K
Lawyers / law firms · $6.0K
- Richard Jones Law Firm · $6.0K
Individuals $6.0K · PACs $0
Health professionals$750
Health professionals · $750
- Dekalb Medical Center · $750
Individuals $750 · PACs $0
Insurance$700
Insurance · $700
- Agcs Marine Insurance Company · $700
Individuals $700 · PACs $0
Air transport$250
Air transport · $250
- Delta Airlines · $250
Individuals $250 · PACs $0
Top contributors
RICHARD JONES LAW FIRM$6.0K
CDC$1.0K
DEKALB MEDICAL CENTER$750
AGCS MARINE INSURANCE COMPANY$700
IMMEDIA TECHNOLOGY GROUP, INC.$250
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$50.9K
D side
$77.8 · 0%
R side
$50.9K · 100%
Top spender
WITH HONOR FUND II,…
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WITH HONOR FUND II, INC. super pac · boosts R
| R | $50.9K | 100% | for Rich McCormick |
| PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES super pac · boosts D
| D | $77.8 | 0% | against Rich McCormick |
Editorial ratings · 6 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe R6
Safe R · 6 raters
- CNalysis · Nov 15
- The Cook Political Report · Dec 28
- Decision Desk HQ · May 31
- Elections Daily · Jun 7
- Inside Elections · Mar 9
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Feb 22
CNalysis
Safe RThe Cook Political Report
Safe RDecision Desk HQ
Safe RElections Daily
Safe RInside Elections
Safe RSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-09-05
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks