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Races · house · 2024 · Florida
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PrimariesThis seat also has primary-season views:Republican primary
house · open seat

Debbie Wasserman Schultz vs Chris Eddy

← Florida houseFlorida house →
Safe DD +16.6 forecast· 0 polls · 0 markets
Model's final pre-election call · win probabilitypoliagg-v34 · final pre-election call
99% Schultz (D)
1% Eddy (R)
R+15R+5TIEDD+5D+15
Model's predicted final margin D +16.6 · 80% CI D+4.6 → D+28.6
Actual result D+9.0 · backtest (race already called)
Momentum
—
insufficient data
Tipping-point P
0.0%
Decisive for chamber control
Market · D-side
—
Cross-platform consensus
News articles · 30d
—
no recent coverage
Where this race stands
Verified

Lean D · model 99% D

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+5) suggests Lean D.

The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+16.6 with an 80% CI ranging from D+4.6 (10th pctile) to D+28.6 (90th pctile), giving D a 99% chance of winning.

CITATIONS · lean-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +16.6
80% CI: D +4.6 → D +28.6 · win prob 99%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
Polls used0
Days to electionpassed
Actual resultD+9.0
Residual σ6.00pt
Generated7/1/2026

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DDebbie Wasserman Schultz0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RChris Eddy0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-10-31
Chris EddyH4FL25030 ↗
Receipts
$416.3K
Disburse
$414.4K
Cash on hand
$2.0K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Education$6.6K
Lawyers / law firms$3.5K
Top contributors
UNITED TRANZACTIONS$6.6K
INVESTMENTS LIMITED$6.6K
SELF EMPLOYED - LABITHA LLC$6.6K
EXQUISITE CATERING$6.6K
JOHN COSTELLO CPA$5.3K
Debbie Wasserman SchultzH4FL20023 ↗
Receipts
$2.9M
Disburse
$2.6M
Cash on hand
$1.1M
Debts
$0
Top industries
Health professionals$21.5K
Lawyers / law firms$13.2K
Top contributors
LEON MEDICAL CENTERS$21.5K
LIBRA GROUP$13.2K
TREMONT PARTNERS$13.2K
LEON MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL$13.2K
THE HAGGARD LAW FIRM$13.2K

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$1.7M
D side
$395.39 · 0%
R side
$1.7M · 100%
Top spender
UNITED FOR COMMON S…
For / against split
For Schultz $395.39
Against Schultz $98.9K
For Eddy $1.6M
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
UNITED FOR COMMON SENSER$1.7M97%for Chris Eddy
CITIZENS AGAINST AIPAC CORRUPTIONR$54.7K3%against Debbie Wasserman Schultz
1199 SEIU NEW YORK STATE POLITICAL ACTION FUNDD$385.390%for Debbie Wasserman Schultz
SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTIOND$100%for Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Editorial ratings · 5 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe D5
CNalysis
Safe D
Nov 15
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
Sep 6
Elections Daily
Safe D
Sep 6
Inside Elections
Safe D
Jul 27
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Sep 6

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 11, 2026Safe Dmodel
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-10-31
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks