Races · house · 2024 · Connecticut
house · open seat
Jahana Hayes vs Michelle Botelho
Where this race stands
VerifiedTilt D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+3) suggests Tilt D.
CITATIONS · tilt-d
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetDJahana Hayes0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RMichelle Botelho0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-06Jahana HayesH8CT05245 ↗
Receipts
$4.2M
Disburse
$4.1M
Cash on hand
$522.6K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Health professionals$15.2K
Health professionals · $15.2K
- Union Square Hospitality Group · $8.6K
- Mass General Hospital · $6.6K
Individuals $15.2K · PACs $0
Securities & investment$9.9K
Securities & investment · $9.9K
- Jp Morgan Chase · $9.9K
Individuals $9.9K · PACs $0
Top contributors
BERKSHIRE PARTNERS LLC$14.8K
LOEHMANN BLASIUS$13.2K
TEENLIFE MEDIA$9.9K
JP MORGAN CHASE$9.9K
UNION SQUARE HOSPITALITY GROUP$8.6K
Michelle Botelho
Receipts
$17.4K
Disburse
$26.0K
Cash on hand
$-5,481.45
Debts
$0
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
EQUINOX PARTNERS$1.0K
CAMMARATA GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS$500
7RIDGE$250
PARK CITY STEEL CO., INC.$50
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$8.9M
D side
$6.2M · 70%
R side
$2.7M · 30%
Top spender
NRCC
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRCC party · boosts R
| R | $572.0K | 6% | against Jahana Hayes |
| LCV VICTORY FUND super pac · boosts D
| D | $300.0K | 3% | for Jahana Hayes |
| AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION super pac · boosts R
| R | $144.9K | 2% | against Jahana Hayes |
| IMPACT CT INC. pac · boosts D
| D | $123.1K | 1% | for Jahana Hayes |
| WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $74.7K | 1% | for Jahana Hayes |
Editorial ratings · 5 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Likely D2
Likely D · 2 raters
- CNalysis · Nov 15
- Elections Daily · Mar 21
Lean D3
Lean D · 3 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Feb 1
- Inside Elections · Mar 9
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Feb 22
CNalysis
Likely DThe Cook Political Report
Lean DElections Daily
Likely DInside Elections
Lean DSabato's Crystal Ball
Lean DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-11-06
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks