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Races · house · 2024 · Colorado
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house · open seat

Brittany Petterson vs Sergei Matveyuk

← Colorado houseColorado house →
Safe DD +20.1 forecast· 0 polls · 0 markets
Model's final pre-election call · win probabilitypoliagg-v34 · final pre-election call
99% Petterson (D)
1% Matveyuk (R)
R+15R+5TIEDD+5D+15
Model's predicted final margin D +20.1 · 80% CI D+8.1 → D+32.1
Actual result Brittany Pettersen +14.2 · backtest (race already called)
Momentum
—
insufficient data
Tipping-point P
0.0%
Decisive for chamber control
Market · D-side
—
Cross-platform consensus
News articles · 30d
—
no recent coverage
Where this race stands
Verified

Likely D · model 99% D

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+8) suggests Likely D.

The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+20.1 with an 80% CI ranging from D+8.1 (10th pctile) to D+32.1 (90th pctile), giving D a 99% chance of winning.

CITATIONS · likely-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +20.1
80% CI: D +8.1 → D +32.1 · win prob 99%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
Polls used0
Days to electionpassed
Actual resultBrittany Pettersen +14.2
Residual σ6.00pt
Generated7/1/2026

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 4 candidates with no endorsements yet
DBrittany Petterson0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RSergei Matveyuk0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
LPatrick Bohan0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
IRon Tupa0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing —
Sergei MatveyukOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$57.0K
Disburse
$45.7K
Cash on hand
$11.3K
Debts
$5.2K
Top industries
Education$1.0K
Real estate$1.0K
Lawyers / law firms$510
Top contributors
THREE TREE CAPITAL$3.0K
PAVCO LLC$1.0K
NCF CONSTRUCTION$1.0K
SCHOOL$1.0K
INTERNACHI$1.0K
Ron TupaOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$36.5K
Disburse
$35.3K
Cash on hand
$1.2K
Debts
$919.98
Top industries
Real estate$600
Top contributors
CROSSCUT PIZZERIA$2.0K
MATT'S SCRIPT ARCHIVE INC$1.8K
THE ROYAL OAK BREWERY$1.1K
DENEWILER CAPITAL$900
HOME SWEET HOME REALTY$600
Patrick BohanOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$5.7K
Disburse
$5.0K
Cash on hand
$666
Debts
$0
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.

Editorial ratings · 5 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe D5
CNalysis
Safe D
Nov 15
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
Jul 27
Elections Daily
Safe D
Jun 7
Inside Elections
Safe D
Sep 14
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Jun 7

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 11, 2026Safe Dmodel
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks