Races · house · 2024 · California
house · open seat
Juan Vargas vs Justin Lee
Where this race stands
VerifiedLikely D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+13) suggests Likely D.
CITATIONS · likely-d
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetDJuan Vargas0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RJustin Lee0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-10-18Juan VargasH2CA50026 ↗
Receipts
$790.6K
Disburse
$919.3K
Cash on hand
$90.8K
Debts
$1.8K
Top industries
Computers / electronics$4.0K
Computers / electronics · $4.0K
- Fhlbank San Francisco · $4.0K
Individuals $4.0K · PACs $0
Top contributors
CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES$6.6K
CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES INC.$6.6K
THE DONNA BENDER COMPANY$6.6K
NATIONAL ENTERPRISES, INC.$5.3K
THE COAM MANAGEMENT GROUP$5.0K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$2.4K
D side
$1.6K · 68%
R side
$750 · 32%
Top spender
DMFI PAC
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DMFI PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $1.3K | 54% | for Juan Vargas |
| REFORM LEADERS PAC super pac · boosts R
| R | $750 | 32% | against Juan Vargas |
| COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $274.68 | 12% | for Juan Vargas |
| PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND OF THE PACIFIC SOUTHWEST PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $55.87 | 2% | for Juan Vargas |
Editorial ratings · 3 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe D3
Safe D · 3 raters
- CNalysis · Nov 15
- The Cook Political Report · Feb 1
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Feb 22
CNalysis
Safe DThe Cook Political Report
Safe DSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-10-18
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks