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Races · house · 2024 · California
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house · open seat

Sara Jacobs vs Bill Wells

Likely D polls· 0 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Likely D

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+13) suggests Likely D.

CITATIONS · likely-d

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DSara Jacobs0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RBill Wells0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-10-18
Bill WellsH2CA53038 ↗
Receipts
$772.8K
Disburse
$762.1K
Cash on hand
$18.9K
Debts
$0
Real estate$20.8K
SELF - EMPLOYED$28.1K
SUDBERRY PROPERTIES$14.2K
HIGH PERFORMANCE AIRCRAFT$10.0K
HAMANN CONSTRUCTION$9.9K
NATIONAL ENTERPRISES, INC.$6.6K
Sara JacobsH8CA49074 ↗
Receipts
$1.7M
Disburse
$1.7M
Cash on hand
$77.4K
Debts
$350.0K
Health professionals$7.6K
Education$6.6K
SPS STUDIOS$9.9K
XENCO MEDICAL$7.6K
THE SCOTT FOUNDATION$7.6K
ARNOLD VENTURES$6.6K
MAF LLC$6.6K

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$1.1K
D side
$340.55 · 31%
R side
$750 · 69%
Top spender
REFORM LEADERS PAC
For / against split
For Jacobs $340.55
For Wells $750
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
REFORM LEADERS PACR$75069%for Bill Wells
COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACD$274.6825%for Sara Jacobs
PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND OF THE PACIFIC SOUTHWEST PACD$55.875%for Sara Jacobs
SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTIOND$101%for Sara Jacobs

Editorial ratings · 3 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe D3
CNalysis
Safe D
Nov 15
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
Feb 1
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Feb 22

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 5, 2026likely-dpvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-10-18
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks