NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Races · house · 2024 · California
</> Embed
house · open seat

Lou Correa vs David Pan

Likely D polls· 0 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Likely D

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+11) suggests Likely D.

CITATIONS · likely-d

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DLou Correa0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RDavid Pan0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-10-18
Lou CorreaH6CA46116 ↗
Receipts
$1.4M
Disburse
$1.0M
Cash on hand
$1.9M
Debts
$0
Securities & investment$8.1K
Lawyers / law firms$6.6K
LIBERTY DENTAL PLAN$9.9K
SANDERSON J RAY DEVELOPMENT$9.1K
KKR$8.1K
450 ATTORNEYS INC$6.6K
PISCES, INC.$6.6K
David PanH4CA46137 ↗
Receipts
$88.9K
Disburse
$86.0K
Cash on hand
$2.9K
Debts
$24.5K
Education$16.5K
Pharma / health products$3.3K
Govt employees$2.0K
Health professionals$500
STANFORD UNIVERSITY$9.9K
ECOSCIENCE LLC$9.9K
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY$6.6K
COMTREND$3.3K
JOHNSON & JOHNSON$3.3K

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$441.97
D side
$284.68 · 64%
R side
$157.29 · 36%
Top spender
COURAGE CALIFORNIA …
For / against split
For Correa $284.68
For Pan $157.29
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACD$274.6862%for Lou Correa
REFORM LEADERS PACR$157.2936%for David Pan
SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTIOND$102%for Lou Correa

Editorial ratings · 3 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe D3
CNalysis
Safe D
Nov 15
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
Feb 1
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Feb 22

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 5, 2026likely-dpvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-10-18
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks