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Races · house · 2024 · California
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PrimariesThis seat also has primary-season views:Republican primary
house · open seat

Ted Lieu vs Ariana Hakami

Safe D polls· 0 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Safe D

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+21) suggests Safe D.

CITATIONS · safe-d

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DTed Lieu0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RAriana Hakami0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-12-02
Receipts
$2.6M
Disburse
$2.7M
Cash on hand
$675.0K
Debts
$0
Lawyers / law firms$32.4K
TV / movies / music$13.2K
Internet$9.9K
Electric utilities$9.4K
NOT-EMPLOYED$255.1K
COTCHETT, PITRE & MCCARTHY, LLP$13.2K
TRENDNET$13.2K
NETFLIX$13.2K
PAFCO$10.8K
Ariana HakamiOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$3.8K
Disburse
$3.7K
Cash on hand
$293.61
Debts
$6.8K
No industry data.
MERRILL LYNCH$2.0K

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$656.92
D side
$499.63 · 76%
R side
$157.29 · 24%
Top spender
COURAGE CALIFORNIA …
For / against split
For Lieu $499.63
For Toomim $157.29
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACD$274.6942%for Ted Lieu
PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCACY PROJECT LOS ANGELES COUNTY ACTION FUNDD$214.9433%for Ted Lieu
SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTIOND$102%for Ted Lieu

Editorial ratings · 3 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe D3
CNalysis
Safe D
Nov 15
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
Feb 1
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Feb 22

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 5, 2026safe-dpvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-12-02
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks