Races · house · 2024 · CA
house · open seat
Norma Torres vs Mike Cargile
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely D
likely-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-10-18Total IE spending
$325
For candidates
$325
Against candidates
$0
Latest filing: 10/18/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Norma Torres (D)
$325 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$303K
Total raised (cycle)
$943K
Total spent
$987K
Debts
$300
Source: FEC
- $275 for COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC Super PAC
- $50 for PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES' COMMUNITY ACTION FUND PAC Super PAC
Mike Cargile (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$471
Total raised (cycle)
$141K
Total spent
$142K
Debts
$13K
Source: FEC
Melissa May (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$0
Total raised (cycle)
$15K
Total spent
$16K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Likely D via pvi