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Races · house · 2024 · California
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house · open seat

Pete Aguilar vs Tom Herman

Lean D polls· 0 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Lean D

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+7) suggests Lean D.

CITATIONS · lean-d

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DPete Aguilar0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RTom Herman0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-10-29
Pete AguilarH2CA31125 ↗
Receipts
$5.9M
Disburse
$4.8M
Cash on hand
$2.6M
Debts
$0
Commercial banks$34.7K
Internet$12.6K
WELLS FARGO$34.7K
PAUL WEISS RIFKIND WHARTON & GARRISON$19.1K
THEGROUP$16.2K
GENERAL ATOMICS$16.1K
DAVITA$15.5K
Tom HermanOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$5.8K
Disburse
$3.9K
Cash on hand
$1.9K
Debts
$0
No industry data.
HEART TO HEART MINISTRIES$1.9K

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$10.5K
D side
$10.3K · 99%
R side
$157.29 · 1%
Top spender
COOPERATIVE OF AMER…
For / against split
For Aguilar $10.3K
Against Aguilar $157.29
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
COOPERATIVE OF AMERICAN PHYSICIANS INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEED$10.0K95%for Pete Aguilar
COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACD$274.743%for Pete Aguilar
REFORM LEADERS PACR$157.291%against Pete Aguilar
PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES' COMMUNITY ACTION FUND PACD$50.460%for Pete Aguilar
SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTIOND$100%for Pete Aguilar

Editorial ratings · 3 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe D3
CNalysis
Safe D
Nov 15
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
Feb 1
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Feb 22

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 5, 2026lean-dpvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-10-29
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks