Races · house · 2024 · CA
house · open seat
Pete Aguilar vs Tom Herman
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Lean D
lean-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-10-29Total IE spending
$10K
For candidates
$10K
Against candidates
$157
Latest filing: 10/29/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Pete Aguilar (D)
$10K for ·
$157 against
Cash on hand
$2.6M
Total raised (cycle)
$5.9M
Total spent
$4.8M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $10K for COOPERATIVE OF AMERICAN PHYSICIANS INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE Super PAC
- $275 for COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC Super PAC
- $157 against REFORM LEADERS PAC Super PAC
- $50 for PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES' COMMUNITY ACTION FUND PAC Super PAC
- $10 for SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION Super PAC
Tom Herman (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$2K
Total raised (cycle)
$6K
Total spent
$4K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Lean D via pvi