Races · house · 2024 · AL
house · open seat
Tom Holmes vs Jerry Carl
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Safe R
safe-r
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-13Total IE spending
$6.2M
For candidates
$766K
Against candidates
$5.4M
Latest filing: 11/13/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Barry Moore (R)
$758K for ·
$3.7M against
Cash on hand
$125K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.1M
Total spent
$1.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $2.1M against SOUTH ALABAMA CONSERVATIVES PAC Super PAC
- $1.6M against CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. Super PAC
- $721K for SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND Super PAC
- $36K for DARE DEFEND OUR RIGHTS PAC Super PAC
- $2K for HOUSE FREEDOM FUND PAC
Jerry Carl (R)
$8K for ·
$1.8M against
Cash on hand
$69K
Total raised (cycle)
$2.2M
Total spent
$2.6M
Debts
$255K
Source: FEC
- $1.3M against SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND Super PAC
- $402K against HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION Super PAC
- $44K against DARE DEFEND OUR RIGHTS PAC Super PAC
- $8K for SOUTH ALABAMA CONSERVATIVES PAC Super PAC
Tom Holmes (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$410
Total raised (cycle)
$18K
Total spent
$17K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Safe R via pvi