Races · house · 2022 · WA
house · open seat
Kim Schrier vs Reagan Dunn
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tilt D
tilt-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-11-08Total IE spending
$31.4M
For candidates
$2.9M
Against candidates
$28.4M
Latest filing: 11/8/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Matt Larkin (R)
$790K for ·
$16.0M against
Cash on hand
$4K
Total raised (cycle)
$2.8M
Total spent
$2.8M
Debts
$1.2M
Source: FEC
- $12.4M against HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $1.6M against CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE Super PAC
- $836K against DCCC Party
- $739K for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $696K against TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS Super PAC
Kim Schrier (D)
$1.6M for ·
$12.2M against
Cash on hand
$350K
Total raised (cycle)
$9.6M
Total spent
$11.0M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $8.8M against NRCC Party
- $3.4M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $431K for HUMANE SOCIETY LEGISLATIVE FUND PAC
- $270K for NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE / AMERICAN COLLEGE OF EMERGENCY PHYSICIANS PAC
- $159K for AMERICAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SKINPAC) PAC
Jesse Jensen (R)
$511K for ·
$59K against
Cash on hand
$0
Total raised (cycle)
$0
Total spent
$1K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $511K for LEAD THE WAY PAC Super PAC
- $59K against AMERICA UNITED Super PAC
- $9 against PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Super PAC
Reagan Dunn (R)
$0 for ·
$174K against
Cash on hand
$0
Total raised (cycle)
$885K
Total spent
$885K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $174K against LEAD THE WAY PAC Super PAC
- $211 against FUSE WASHINGTON PAC
Justin Greywolf (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$-14
Total raised (cycle)
$6K
Total spent
$6K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tilt D via pvi