Races · house · 2022 · VA
house · open seat
Elaine Luria vs Basswood Research
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2023-09-03Total IE spending
$16.3M
For candidates
$2.7M
Against candidates
$13.6M
Latest filing: 9/3/2023
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Jen Kiggans (R)
$1.4M for ·
$6.9M against
Cash on hand
$26K
Total raised (cycle)
$3.5M
Total spent
$3.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $6.9M against HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $540K for AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION Super PAC
- $360K for SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA Super PAC
- $215K for EMPOWERING VIRGINIA PARENTS Super PAC
- $200K for CHAMPION AMERICAN VALUES Super PAC
Elaine Luria (D)
$1.2M for ·
$6.1M against
Cash on hand
$282K
Total raised (cycle)
$10.8M
Total spent
$10.7M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $5.0M against NRCC Party
- $533K against DEFEND US PAC Super PAC
- $470K against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $453K for CASA IN ACTION PAC Super PAC
- $300K for SHIELD PAC Super PAC
Jarome Bell (R)
$109K for ·
$607K against
Cash on hand
$0
Total raised (cycle)
$552K
Total spent
$553K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $607K against PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $109K for FREE AMERICAN PAC Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi